Dayana Yastremska vs Jelena OstapenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇦Dayana Yastremska
#112 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
33 meetings · sets 2–5
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#31 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Dayana Yastremska and Jelena Ostapenko have met 3 times since 2022; Jelena Ostapenko leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Viking Classic - Birmingham in 2022 on grass. On hard courts Ostapenko leads 2–0. Ostapenko has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Yastremska has taken 2 sets to Ostapenko's 5. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Yastremska | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dayana Yastremska | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 12/17 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 14/39 | 41% | 16/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 7/19 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 11/19 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 12/17 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 16/21 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 12/21 | 65% | 15/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Yastremska 0, Ostapenko 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Yastremska
💥 Big Hitter
Ostapenko
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 20, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 16, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 16, 2022
Viking Classic - Birmingham
G Grass · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Yastremska | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Dayana Yastremska | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 5 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Yastremska | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.79 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | -51.6% | -7.7% |
| Units P/L | -4.13u | -0.54u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Yastremska | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 1 |
| Distance | 1,304 mi · 2,098 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | POL → AUT | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ostapenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Yastremska's 22%).
| Opponent | Yastremska | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Sara Bejlek | W 61 62 | L 46 36 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 57 36 | W 57 62 75 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | L 64 46 46 | W 26 62 63 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | L 64 57 67 | W 67 63 64 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 57 64 57 | W 64 75 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 75 26 36 | L 64 36 26 |
| Marina Stakusic | L 46 36 | L 46 76 26 |
| Victoria Mboko | W 63 76 | L 36 26 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | L 36 06 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Janice Tjen
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Tatjana Maria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Aoi Ito
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Alicia Dudeney
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · 1st Round
Jun 16
Ajla Tomljanovic
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Sara Bejlek
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 1st Round
Jun 9
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Antonia Ruzic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Harriet Dart
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Zeynep Sonmez
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Panna Udvardy
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Francesca Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Magda Linette
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–39 matches
| Metric | Yastremska | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 56% |
| Sets won | 47% | 56% |
| Games won | 48% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Yastremska | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Yastremska | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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