Dayana Yastremska vs Jelena OstapenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇦Dayana Yastremska
#103 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 2–5
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#34 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Dayana Yastremska and Jelena Ostapenko have met 3 times since 2022; Jelena Ostapenko leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Viking Classic - Birmingham in 2022 on grass. On hard courts Ostapenko leads 2–0. Ostapenko has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Yastremska has taken 2 sets to Ostapenko's 5. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Yastremska | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dayana Yastremska | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | 71% | 17/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 15/42 | 40% | 17/42 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 7/21 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 12/17 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 18/23 | 69% | 18/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 14/23 | 65% | 17/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Yastremska 0, Ostapenko 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Yastremska
💥 Big Hitter
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Dayana Yastremska and Jelena Ostapenko are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 20, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 16, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 16, 2022
Viking Classic - Birmingham
G Grass · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Yastremska | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Dayana Yastremska | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Yastremska | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.17 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | -14.7% | -34.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | -2.04u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Yastremska | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 592 mi · 952 km |
| Route | ROU | POR → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ostapenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Yastremska's 20%).
| Opponent | Yastremska | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Anastasia Zakharova | L 64 57 67 | W 64 61 |
| Tatjana Maria | L 16 26 | L 64 16 26 |
| Lucrezia Stefanini | L 36 64 16 | W 60 61 |
| Shuai Zhang | W 63 62 | L |
| Sara Bejlek | W 61 62 | L 46 36 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 57 36 | W 57 62 75 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | L 64 46 46 | W 26 62 63 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 57 64 57 | W 64 75 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 75 26 36 | L 64 36 26 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | L 36 06 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sinja Kraus
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Maja Chwalinska
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Caty Mcnally
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Janice Tjen
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Tatjana Maria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Aoi Ito
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Taylah Preston
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–42 matches
| Metric | Yastremska | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 57% |
| Sets won | 48% | 57% |
| Games won | 48% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Yastremska | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Yastremska | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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