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Head-to-Head

Dayana Yastremska vs Iga SwiatekPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Dayana Yastremska

🇺🇦Dayana Yastremska

#112 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed

3
1–2

3 meetings · sets 2–4

Iga Swiatek

🇵🇱Iga Swiatek

#8 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed

Dayana Yastremska and Iga Swiatek have met 3 times since 2019; Iga Swiatek leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Fed Cup G1 PM: POL vs UKR in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Swiatek leads 2–1. Swiatek has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Yastremska has taken 2 sets to Swiatek's 4. Their most recent meeting: Iga Swiatek won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2025).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorYastremskaSwiatek
Wins in straight sets71%80%
Wins a set when losing41%65%
Goes to a deciding set36%33%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite37%58%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog58%0%
Tiebreak sets won71%75%
Wins after taking set 176%87%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 157%78%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Yastremska 1, Swiatek 2).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Yastremska

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies
vs

Swiatek

👑 The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer

Matchup analysis

💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

3 career meetings, newest first

Mar 9, 2025

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

H Hard · 3rd Round

06
26
Swiatek

Feb 19, 2025

Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai

H Hard · 3rd Round

57
06
Swiatek

Feb 9, 2019

Fed Cup G1 PM: POL vs UKR

H Hard · Round Robin

7762
64
Yastremska

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeYastremskaSwiatek
1 or more75%64%
3 or more50%7%
5 or more13%7%
10 or more0%0%
15 or more0%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricYastremskaSwiatek
W-L3–510–3
Avg odds1.791.24
ROI %-51.6%-6.7%
Units P/L-4.13u-0.87u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricYastremskaSwiatek
Countries22
Events22
Matches29
Distance1,304 mi · 2,098 km411 mi · 662 km
RoutePOL → AUTCAN → POL

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Swiatek has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Yastremska's 20%).

OpponentYastremskaSwiatek
Janice Tjen
L
62
36
67
W
60
63
Jessica Pegula
L
75
26
36
L
57
64
46
Elina Svitolina
L
16
46
W
63
16
63
Diana Shnaider
L
36
16
W
62
61
Sara Bejlek
W
61
62
W
60
63
Alexandra Eala
L
57
64
57
L
67
26
Jasmine Paolini
L
57
36
L
16
26
Barbora Krejcikova
W
63
63
W
60
63
Belinda Bencic
L
26
76
36
L
63
06
36
Ekaterina Alexandrova
L
36
06
W
16
76
75

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Yastremska
LLLWLWLW
L

Janice Tjen

Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round

62
36
657

Aug 25

L

Tatjana Maria

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round

16
26

Aug 13

L

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round

36
761
26

Jul 1

W

Aoi Ito

Wimbledon - London · 1st Round

761
46
75

Jun 29

L

Tatjana Maria

Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · 2nd Round

16
26

Jun 17

W

Alicia Dudeney

Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · 1st Round

64
762

Jun 16

L

Ajla Tomljanovic

Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 2nd Round

64
46
57

Jun 12

W

Sara Bejlek

Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 1st Round

61
62

Jun 9

Swiatek
LWWWWWWW
L

Jessica Pegula

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals

57
64
46

Aug 22

W

Diane Parry

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

63
63

Aug 19

W

Maria Sakkari

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

46
61
61

Aug 17

W

Emiliana Arango

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

63
60

Aug 16

W

Elina Svitolina

National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals

63
16
63

Aug 13

W

Diana Shnaider

National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals

62
61

Aug 11

W

Marta Kostyuk

National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round

36
61
62

Aug 8

W

Viktorija Golubic

National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round

62
61

Aug 6

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ YastremskaSwiatek ahead↓ Swiatek

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–61 matches

MetricYastremskaSwiatek
Matches won44%72%
Sets won47%70%
Games won48%60%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageYastremskaSwiatek
WTA 100002
BJK Cup10

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceYastremskaSwiatek
Hard12

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Dayana Yastremska vs Iga Swiatek FAQ

Iga Swiatek leads the head-to-head 2–1 over 3 meetings.