Dayana Yastremska vs Iga SwiatekPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇦Dayana Yastremska
#103 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 2–4
🇵🇱Iga Swiatek
#9 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
Dayana Yastremska and Iga Swiatek have met 3 times since 2019; Iga Swiatek leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Fed Cup G1 PM: POL vs UKR in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Swiatek leads 2–1. Swiatek has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Yastremska has taken 2 sets to Swiatek's 4. Their most recent meeting: Iga Swiatek won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Yastremska | Swiatek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dayana Yastremska | Iga Swiatek | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | 79% | 33/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 15/42 | 33% | 19/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 7/21 | 57% | 32/56 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 12/17 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 18/23 | 86% | 37/43 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 14/23 | 77% | 33/43 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Yastremska 1, Swiatek 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Yastremska
💥 Big Hitter
Swiatek
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 9, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 19, 2025
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 9, 2019
Fed Cup G1 PM: POL vs UKR
H Hard · Round Robin
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Yastremska | Swiatek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Dayana Yastremska | Iga Swiatek | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 77% | 13/17 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Yastremska | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 15–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.17 | 1.22 |
| ROI % | -14.7% | +1.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | +0.24u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Yastremska | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Swiatek has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Yastremska's 30%).
| Opponent | Yastremska | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Caty Mcnally | W 63 64 | W 61 67 63 |
| Janice Tjen | L 62 36 67 | W 60 63 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 75 26 36 | L 57 64 46 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 76 36 | W |
| Elina Svitolina | L 16 46 | W 63 16 63 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 16 | W 62 61 |
| Sara Bejlek | W 61 62 | W 60 63 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 57 64 57 | L 67 26 |
| Ann Li | W 75 46 63 | L |
| Belinda Bencic | L 26 76 36 | L 63 06 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sinja Kraus
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Maja Chwalinska
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Caty Mcnally
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Janice Tjen
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Tatjana Maria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Aoi Ito
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Iva Jovic
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Donna Vekic
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Xinyu Gao
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Marie Bouzkova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Nadia Podoroska
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Xiyu Wang
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–58 matches
| Metric | Yastremska | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 72% |
| Sets won | 48% | 70% |
| Games won | 48% | 60% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Yastremska | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
| BJK Cup | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Yastremska | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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