Daria Kasatkina vs Mingge XuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#59 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–1
🇬🇧Mingge Xu
#332 · 18 yrs · Right-Handed
Daria Kasatkina and Mingge Xu have met 1 time since 2026; Daria Kasatkina leads 1–0. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 2 sets to Xu's 1. Their most recent meeting: Daria Kasatkina won at Wimbledon - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Xu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Mingge Xu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 9/15 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 10/19 | 35% | 7/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 47% | 16/34 | 30% | 12/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 28% | 7/25 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 6/9 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 4/12 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 11/15 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | 68% | 15/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 0, Xu 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Xu
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 56% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 6,005 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mingge Xu.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 29, 2026
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kasatkina | Xu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Kasatkina | Mingge Xu | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Xu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 2–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.44 | 2.59 |
| ROI % | -51.7% | -74.6% |
| Units P/L | -5.17u | -6.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Xu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | NED → BUL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kasatkina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Xu's 50%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Xu |
|---|---|---|
| Susan Bandecchi | W 75 76 | L 16 46 |
| Xinyu Wang | W 16 76 75 | W 62 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Anna Kalinskaya
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mingge Xu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Mccartney Kessler
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Susan Bandecchi
W35 Aldershot · Quarterfinals
Aug 13
Edie Griffiths
W35 Aldershot · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Mary Lewis
W35 Aldershot · 1st Round
Aug 11
Eliz Maloney
W35 Roehampton · 1st Round
Aug 5
Katja Wiersholm
W50 Nottingham · 1st Round
Jul 14
Daria Kasatkina
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Tiana Tian Deng
Maanshan 5 ITF
Jun 22
Elsa Jacquemot
Eastbourne
Jun 20
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 34–40 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Xu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 50% |
| Sets won | 48% | 51% |
| Games won | 50% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Xu |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Xu |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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