Daniil Glinka vs Jacob FearnleyPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Olbia Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 13 · 5:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.49 or shorter, Jacob Fearnley has won 39 of 51 (76%). The price implied 69%, so Jacob Fearnley has beaten it by 7 points.
At 2.52 or longer, Daniil Glinka has won 10 of 31 (32%). That is level with the 31% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Jacob Fearnley and Daniil Glinka meet in the 1st Round of the Olbia Challenger on October 13 on hard court. Fearnley, ranked 96th, arrives after two matches in fourteen days with a 12-8 hard court record. Glinka, ranked 178th, comes in after six matches in the same span and carries the same 12-8 hard court mark.
The two have never faced each other. Fearnley has won 2 of his last 5 matches, while Daniil Glinka has won 4 of his last 5. Recent results against common opponents show Fearnley defeated Stefan Kozlov while Glinka lost to him; both fell to Titouan Droguet and Bu Yunchaokete, though both beat Darwin Blanch and J.J. Wolf.
Fearnley constructs points through defensive positioning and counter-attacks, relying on timing and placement rather than pace. Glinka operates as a power hitter who depends on aggressive shot-making to dictate rallies. On hard court, both players have maintained identical 60% win rates. The match asks whether Glinka can sustain his aggressive rhythm or whether Fearnley can neutralize it through positioning and patience.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Glinka | Fearnley | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Glinka | Jacob Fearnley | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 32/46 | 58% | 19/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 12/32 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 26/78 | 45% | 25/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 22/45 | 41% | 17/41 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 20/31 | 64% | 9/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 75% | 18/24 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 39/45 | 96% | 24/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 32/45 | 76% | 19/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Glinka
💥 Big Hitter
Fearnley
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Glinka and Fearnley have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Glinka | Fearnley | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Glinka | Jacob Fearnley | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 24/24 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 20/24 | 65% | 11/17 |
| 5 or more | 54% | 13/24 | 53% | 9/17 |
| 10 or more | 21% | 5/24 | 12% | 2/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Glinka | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–9 | 12–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.92 | 1.67 |
| ROI % | +2.5% | +0.1% |
| Units P/L | +0.61u | +0.01u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Glinka | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Distance | 461 mi · 742 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | FRA | POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Glinka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Fearnley's 40%).
| Opponent | Glinka | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Titouan Droguet | L 64 36 26 | L 26 76 26 |
| Elias Ymer | W 64 63 | L 26 26 |
| Nicolas Mejia | W 63 63 | L 36 63 26 |
| J.J. Wolf | W 63 76 | W 76 46 63 |
| Darwin Blanch | W 63 64 | W 63 63 |
| Stefan Kozlov | L 26 36 | W 36 63 62 |
| Mark Lajal | W | W 75 36 61 |
| Bu Yunchaokete | L 46 46 | L 36 67 |
| Benjamin Bonzi | L 46 46 | L 16 67 |
| Martin Damm | L 76 46 46 | L |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Laslo Djere
Villena Challenger · Final
Oct 11
Jack Pinnington Jones
Villena Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 10
Abedallah Shelbayh
Villena Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Moez Echargui
Villena Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Gauthier Onclin
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Henry Bernet
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Dino Prizmic
St. Tropez Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Ugo Blanchet
St. Tropez Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Martin Landaluce
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jurij Rodionov
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Luka Pavlovic
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Roberto Carballes Baena
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–78 matches
| Metric | Glinka | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 57% |
| Sets won | 57% | 53% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |