Danielle Collins vs Jelena OstapenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Danielle Collins
Unranked · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
53w4 meetings · sets 5–5
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#31 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Danielle Collins and Jelena Ostapenko have met 4 times since 2018; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Miami in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Ostapenko leads 2–1. Collins has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Collins has taken 5 sets to Ostapenko's 5. Their most recent meeting: Danielle Collins won at Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Collins | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Danielle Collins | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 68% | 15/22 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 53% | 9/17 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 41% | 16/39 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 55% | 12/22 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 60% | 9/15 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 50% | 3/6 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 70% | 16/23 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 65% | 15/23 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Collins 1, Ostapenko 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Collins
💥 Big Hitter
Ostapenko
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 3, 2025
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay · 3rd Round
Sep 13, 2023
San Diego Open - San Diego
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 6, 2023
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 24, 2018
Miami
H Hard · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Collins | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.74 |
| ROI % | - | -7.7% |
| Units P/L | - | -0.54u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Collins | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jaqueline Cristian
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 26
Taylor Townsend
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 8
Coco Gauff
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Viktoriya Tomova
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal · 1st Round
Jul 27
Magda Linette
Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 21
Iga Swiatek
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 5
Veronika Erjavec
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 3
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jul 1
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Antonia Ruzic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Harriet Dart
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Zeynep Sonmez
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Panna Udvardy
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Francesca Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Magda Linette
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–39 matches
| Metric | Collins | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 56% |
| Sets won | - | 56% |
| Games won | - | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Collins | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 2 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Collins | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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