Daniel Merida vs Pablo Llamas RuizPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ช๐ธDaniel Merida
#39 ยท 21 yrs ยท R
9w1 meeting ยท sets 2โ0

๐ช๐ธPablo Llamas Ruiz
#126 ยท 23 yrs ยท R
Daniel Merida and Pablo Llamas Ruiz have met 1 time since 2026; Daniel Merida leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Merida has taken 2 sets to Ruiz's 0. Their most recent meeting: Daniel Merida won at Perugia Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Merida | Llamas Ruiz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Merida | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 23/37 | 71% | 29/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 23/59 | 33% | 19/57 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 17/38 | 55% | 26/47 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 10/18 | 89% | 8/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 9/15 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 31/34 | 95% | 36/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 23/34 | 76% | 29/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Merida 1, Llamas Ruiz 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Merida
๐ช Counterpuncher
Ruiz
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Daniel Merida and Pablo Llamas Ruiz are ๐ช Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,818 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 5, 2026
Perugia Challenger
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Merida | Ruiz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Merida | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Merida | Ruiz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3โ3 | 5โ5 |
| Avg odds | 4.13 | 1.69 |
| ROI % | -15.2% | -28.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.91u | -2.88u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Merida | Ruiz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 1 |
| Events | โ | 1 |
| Matches | โ | 1 |
| Distance | โ | 0 mi ยท 0 km |
| Route | โ | MEX |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Ruiz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Merida's 30%).
| Opponent | Merida | Ruiz |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Lajal | L 26 26 | L 26 64 67 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 63 36 57 26 | L 63 46 26 |
| Zachary Svajda | L 06 76 26 | L 16 26 46 |
| Henrique Rocha | L 67 36 | W 46 63 61 |
| Vilius Gaubas | L 16 46 | W 63 61 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 63 64 | W 64 36 76 |
| Ethan Quinn | L 36 16 | W 63 57 63 |
| Jaime Faria | W 46 75 64 | W 36 62 63 |
| Elmer Moller | L 36 46 | L 67 36 |
| Tiago Pereira | W 62 63 | W 62 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Wimbledon ยท Round of 128
Jun 30
Martin Damm
HSBC Championships ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Henrique Rocha
Perugia Challenger ยท Final
Jun 7
Andrea Pellegrino
Perugia Challenger ยท Semifinals
Jun 6
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Perugia Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 5
Liam Broady
Perugia Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jun 3
Ben Shelton
French Open - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 25
Francisco Comesana
Cancun Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 19
Keegan Rice
Vancouver Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 29
Mark Lajal
Bloomfield Hills Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 23
Bruno Kuzuhara
Bloomfield Hills Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
Tristan Boyer
Wimbledon ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 30
Zachary Svajda
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Pol Martin Tiffon
Wimbledon ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Dan Added
Wimbledon ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 60โ62 matches
| Metric | Merida | Ruiz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 68% |
| Sets won | 57% | 63% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Merida | Ruiz |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Merida | Ruiz |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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