Daniel Merida vs Learner TienPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Merida and Learner Tien have met 1 time since 2026; Learner Tien leads 1–0. Across all meetings Merida has taken 0 sets to Tien's 2. Their most recent meeting: Learner Tien won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Merida | Tien | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Merida | Learner Tien | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 21/35 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 25/55 | 39% | 18/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 14/32 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 12/17 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 65% | 11/17 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | 89% | 25/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 21/31 | 57% | 16/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Merida 0, Tien 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Merida
🪃 Counterpuncher
Tien
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 11, 2026
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Merida | Tien | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Merida | Learner Tien | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 4/4 | 81% | 13/16 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 4/4 | 56% | 9/16 |
| 5 or more | 75% | 3/4 | 38% | 6/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Merida | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–2 | 11–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 1.72 |
| ROI % | +10.6% | -8.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.53u | -1.66u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Merida | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km |
| Route | CHN | GBR → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Merida and Tien posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Merida | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Zachary Svajda | L 06 76 26 | W 75 75 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 67 46 36 | W 64 36 61 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 67 62 64 64 | L 46 46 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 64 64 62 | L 76 46 67 36 |
| Marin Cilic | W 36 61 61 | L 57 67 |
| Ben Shelton | L 36 36 46 | L 26 36 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 46 62 62 | L 57 46 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 63 36 57 26 | W 64 60 63 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | L 46 36 62 30 | W 76 63 |
| Dalibor Svrcina | W 67 64 76 | W 61 64 67 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Botic van de Zandschulp
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Alejandro Tabilo
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Andrey Rublev
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Marton Fucsovics
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Marin Cilic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Ugo Humbert
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Casper Ruud
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Zachary Svajda
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Zverev
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 27
Flavio Cobolli
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Jiri Lehecka
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CZE-USA · Rubber 5
Sep 19
Jakub Mensik
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CZE-USA · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Karen Khachanov
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 8
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–65 matches
| Metric | Merida | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 66% |
| Sets won | 58% | 60% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Merida | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Merida | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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