Daniel Merida vs Henrique RochaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Merida and Henrique Rocha have met 2 times since 2022; Henrique Rocha leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Maia in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Rocha leads 2–0. Rocha has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Rocha leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Merida has taken 0 sets to Rocha's 4. Their most recent meeting: Henrique Rocha won at Perugia Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Merida | Rocha | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Merida | Henrique Rocha | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 23/37 | 73% | 27/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 23/59 | 35% | 22/62 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 17/38 | 45% | 19/42 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 10/18 | 82% | 14/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 9/15 | 63% | 15/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 31/34 | 83% | 33/40 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 23/34 | 68% | 27/40 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Merida 0, Rocha 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Merida
🪃 Counterpuncher
Rocha
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 🎾 All-Court archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 682 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Henrique Rocha.
All-Court players often use tactical versatility and net approach ability to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 7, 2026
Perugia Challenger
C Clay · Final
Nov 27, 2022
Maia
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Merida | Rocha | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Merida | Henrique Rocha | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 50% | 6/12 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Merida | Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–3 | 7–6 |
| Avg odds | 4.13 | 1.91 |
| ROI % | -15.2% | -7.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.91u | -0.96u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Merida | Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | MEX |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Merida has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Rocha's 50%).
| Opponent | Merida | Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Pablo Llamas Ruiz | W 61 62 | L 64 36 16 |
| Marco Trungelliti | W 64 16 76 | L 67 26 |
| Jan Choinski | W 63 75 | W 76 67 75 |
| Tom Gentzsch | W 61 64 | W 76 76 |
| David Jorda Sanchis | W 64 64 | W 63 62 |
| Thiago Monteiro | L 36 16 | W 60 67 63 |
| Alejandro Moro Canas | L 26 63 57 | L 63 46 46 |
| Stefano Travaglia | W 61 36 75 | W 46 64 76 |
| Elmer Moller | L 36 46 | L 76 36 16 |
| Vilius Gaubas | L 16 46 | L 76 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Martin Damm
HSBC Championships · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Henrique Rocha
Perugia Challenger · Final
Jun 7
Andrea Pellegrino
Perugia Challenger · Semifinals
Jun 6
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Perugia Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jun 5
Liam Broady
Perugia Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 3
Ben Shelton
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Seongchan Hong
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Pedro Martinez
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 20
Damir Dzumhur
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 13
Nicolas Mejia
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Christopher O'Connell
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 15
Darwin Blanch
Ilkley Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Charles Broom
Ilkley Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 62–62 matches
| Metric | Merida | Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 60% |
| Sets won | 57% | 59% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Merida | Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Merida | Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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