Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Ugo HumbertPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Merida Aguilar and Ugo Humbert have met 1 time since 2026; Daniel Merida Aguilar leads 1–0. Across all meetings Aguilar has taken 2 sets to Humbert's 0. Their most recent meeting: Daniel Merida Aguilar won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Merida Aguilar | Humbert | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Merida Aguilar | Ugo Humbert | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 7/11 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 1/3 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 5/14 | 31% | 16/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 4/8 | 55% | 18/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/1 | 68% | 17/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 9/10 | 88% | 28/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 7/10 | 72% | 23/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Merida Aguilar 1, Humbert 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Aguilar
⚔️ The Gladiator
Humbert
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 58% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 927 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ugo Humbert.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 6, 2026
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Aguilar | Humbert | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Merida Aguilar | Ugo Humbert | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 12/14 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 36% | 5/14 | 94% | 15/16 |
| 5 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 69% | 11/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 19% | 3/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 13% | 2/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Aguilar | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–3 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.09 | 1.68 |
| ROI % | +44.9% | -11.5% |
| Units P/L | +5.84u | -1.84u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Aguilar | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 8 | 2 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Aguilar has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Humbert's 60%).
| Opponent | Aguilar | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Taylor Fritz | L 36 46 | W 63 64 |
| Zizou Bergs | W 63 62 | L 26 57 64 63 36 |
| Marin Cilic | W 36 61 61 | W 75 63 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 63 61 | W 64 61 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 64 67 61 | L 57 76 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Zizou Bergs
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marin Cilic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Alex Michelsen
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Ugo Humbert
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Liam Draxl
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Ben Shelton
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 31
Andres Martin
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Zizou Bergs
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Zizou Bergs
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Final
Jun 28
Jack Draper
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Semifinals
Jun 26
Quentin Halys
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–55 matches
| Metric | Aguilar | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 79% | 56% |
| Sets won | 70% | 56% |
| Games won | 59% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Aguilar | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Aguilar | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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