Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin CilicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Merida Aguilar and Marin Cilic have met 1 time since 2026; Daniel Merida Aguilar leads 1–0. Across all meetings Aguilar has taken 2 sets to Cilic's 1. Their most recent meeting: Daniel Merida Aguilar won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Merida Aguilar | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Merida Aguilar | Marin Cilic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 7/11 | 74% | 14/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 1/3 | 25% | 5/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 5/14 | 26% | 10/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 4/8 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/1 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 9/10 | 83% | 15/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 7/10 | 78% | 14/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Merida Aguilar 0, Cilic 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Aguilar
⚔️ The Gladiator
Cilic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 58% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 927 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Marin Cilic.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 15, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Aguilar | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Merida Aguilar | Marin Cilic | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 12/14 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 36% | 5/14 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Aguilar | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–3 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.09 | 2.30 |
| ROI % | +44.9% | -34.5% |
| Units P/L | +5.84u | -2.76u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Aguilar | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 8 | 3 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Aguilar and Cilic posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Aguilar | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Taylor Fritz | L 36 46 | L 67 67 |
| Zizou Bergs | W 63 62 | W 46 63 64 |
| Learner Tien | L 36 26 | W 75 76 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 63 63 | L 57 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Zizou Bergs
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marin Cilic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Alex Michelsen
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Ugo Humbert
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Liam Draxl
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Frances Tiafoe
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Sho Shimabukuro
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Daniil Medvedev
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Nuno Borges
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Denis Shapovalov
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 1st Round
Jun 8
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–44 matches
| Metric | Aguilar | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 79% | 48% |
| Sets won | 70% | 48% |
| Games won | 59% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Aguilar | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Aguilar | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.