Daniel Elahi Galan vs Mackenzie McDonaldPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π¨π΄Daniel Elahi Galan
#383 Β· 30 yrs Β· R
3w3 meetings Β· sets 3β5

πΊπΈMackenzie McDonald
#169 Β· 31 yrs Β· R
3Daniel Elahi Galan and Mackenzie McDonald have met 3 times since 2021; Mackenzie McDonald leads 2β1. Their first meeting came at Heilbronn Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1β1. McDonald has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Galan has taken 3 sets to McDonald's 5. Their most recent meeting: Mackenzie McDonald won at US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Elahi Galan | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Elahi Galan | Mackenzie McDonald | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 14/23 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 11/25 | 32% | 9/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 20/48 | 33% | 16/48 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 27% | 3/11 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 78% | 14/18 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 11/24 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 17/24 | 74% | 14/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 14/24 | 68% | 13/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Elahi Galan 0, McDonald 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Galan
πΉ Frontrunner
McDonald
βοΈ Grinder
Matchup analysis
πΉ Frontrunner vs βοΈ Grinder is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 166 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 1, 2025
US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston
C Clay Β· 1st Round
Mar 23, 2023
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard Β· 1st Round
May 14, 2021
Heilbronn Challenger
C Clay Β· Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Galan | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Elahi Galan | Mackenzie McDonald | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 6/12 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Galan | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5β5 | 3β7 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | +7.1% | -56.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.71u | -5.63u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Galan | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 1 |
| Distance | 910 mi Β· 1,465 km | 0 mi Β· 0 km |
| Route | POL β BUL | POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
McDonald has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Galan's 33%).
| Opponent | Galan | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | L 26 26 | W 64 64 |
| Marco Trungelliti | W 67 63 75 | W 26 62 75 |
| Hugo Grenier | L | W 76 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Calvin Hemery
Plovdiv 4 Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 21
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Szczecin Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Sep 17
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Szczecin Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 15
Marko Topo
Tulln Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 7
Federico Agustin Gomez
Todi Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Aug 12
Murkel Dellien
Todi Challenger Β· 1st Round
Aug 10
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Plovdiv 2 Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Unknown Player
Plovdiv 2 Challenger Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Ryan Nijboer
Braga Challenger Β· 1st Round
Oct 7
Toby Samuel
Porto Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 29
Dalibor Svrcina
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Thiago Seyboth Wild
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Stefano Napolitano
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger Β· 1st Round
Aug 20
Yibing Wu
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 48β51 matches
| Metric | Galan | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 41% |
| Sets won | 49% | 43% |
| Games won | 49% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Galan | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Galan | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.