Dane Sweeny vs Tristan SchoolkatePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐บDane Sweeny
#110 ยท 25 yrs ยท R
1 meeting ยท sets 2โ1

๐ฆ๐บTristan Schoolkate
#153 ยท 25 yrs ยท R
Dane Sweeny and Tristan Schoolkate have met 1 time since 2026; Dane Sweeny leads 1โ0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Sweeny leading those 1โ0. Across all meetings Sweeny has taken 2 sets to Schoolkate's 1. Their most recent meeting: Dane Sweeny won at Brisbane 1 Challenger (2026).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
- Level
- ATP Masters 1000
- Round
- 1st Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 5 ยท 4:30 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 2.37 or longer, Dane Sweeny has won 19 of 56 (34%). That is level with the 34% the price implied.
At 1.56 or shorter, Tristan Schoolkate has won 46 of 66 (70%). The price implied 66%, so Tristan Schoolkate has beaten it by 4 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Dane Sweeny and Tristan Schoolkate meet next at the Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai on October 5 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sweeny | Schoolkate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dane Sweeny | Tristan Schoolkate | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 29/43 | 66% | 21/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 13/28 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 27/71 | 40% | 25/63 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 25/43 | 54% | 19/35 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 64% | 16/25 | 63% | 15/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 18/32 | 47% | 16/34 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 35/44 | 86% | 24/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 29/44 | 75% | 21/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sweeny 0, Schoolkate 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sweeny
๐พ All-Court
Schoolkate
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
The ๐ค Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs ๐พ All-Court across 631 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tristan Schoolkate.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Feb 8, 2026
Brisbane 1 Challenger
H Hard ยท Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sweeny | Schoolkate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Dane Sweeny | Tristan Schoolkate | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 3 or more | 36% | 4/11 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 5 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 89% | 16/18 |
| 10 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 44% | 8/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 17% | 3/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 6% | 1/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Sweeny | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5โ8 | 12โ8 |
| Avg odds | 3.01 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | +60.9% | +1.0% |
| Units P/L | +7.92u | +0.20u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sweeny | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 4 | 4 |
| Matches | 5 | 7 |
| Distance | 8,376 mi ยท 13,480 km | 6,970 mi ยท 11,217 km |
| Route | USA โ CHN | FRA โ CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Sweeny has a higher win rate against shared opponents (44% vs Schoolkate's 22%).
| Opponent | Sweeny | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bolt | L 36 67 | W 36 76 64 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 76 64 30 | L 46 67 36 |
| Andre Ilagan | W 63 67 64 | L 46 62 16 |
| Darwin Blanch | W 26 76 40 | L 46 46 |
| Bu Yunchaokete | L 67 67 | L 57 46 |
| Arthur Fery | L 46 64 16 | L 46 63 36 |
| Marc Polmans | L 61 67 36 | W 76 75 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 36 26 | L 46 46 |
| James Duckworth | W 76 57 76 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alex Bolt
Jingshan Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Petr Bar Biryukov
Jingshan Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Oct 1
Omar Jasika
Jingshan Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 30
Taro Daniel
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou ยท 1st Round
Sep 24
Luciano Darderi
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 5
Lorenzo Musetti
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Corentin Moutet
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 1
Jesper de Jong
Quebec City Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 19
Harold Mayot
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Oct 1
Philip Henning
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 30
Matteo Martineau
St. Tropez Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 22
Harold Mayot
Rennes Challenger ยท Semifinals
Sep 19
Matisse Bobichon
Rennes Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Anton Matusevich
Rennes Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Sep 17
Marek Gengel
Rennes Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 16
Flavio Cobolli
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 67โ78 matches
| Metric | Sweeny | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 49% |
| Sets won | 57% | 50% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sweeny | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sweeny | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |