Cristian Garin vs Toby SamuelPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Cristian Garin and Toby Samuel have met 1 time since 2026; Toby Samuel leads 1–0. Their most recent meeting: Toby Samuel won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Garin | Samuel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cristian Garin | Toby Samuel | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 12/21 | 83% | 52/63 |
| Wins a set when losing | 69% | 11/16 | 47% | 8/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 54% | 20/37 | 24% | 19/80 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 10/22 | 67% | 42/63 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 8/12 | 80% | 8/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 92% | 55/60 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 12/23 | 87% | 52/60 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Garin
🪃 Counterpuncher
Samuel
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Cristian Garin and Toby Samuel are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,190 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 27, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Garin | Samuel |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–1 | 11–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.70 | 1.68 |
| ROI % | +39.7% | +26.8% |
| Units P/L | +1.19u | +3.75u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Garin | Samuel |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Samuel has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Garin's 33%).
| Opponent | Garin | Samuel |
|---|---|---|
| Liam Draxl | L 64 46 26 | W 64 62 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | W 76 75 | W 63 64 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 57 36 | W 61 76 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | W 62 64 | L 63 46 46 |
| Gonzalo Bueno | L 57 62 46 | W 57 61 63 |
| Martin Damm | L 62 46 67 | W 76 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Toby Samuel
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Elias Ymer
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Spencer Johnson
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Learner Tien
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 26
Henri Squire
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 16
Lautaro Midon
Oeiras 4 Challenger · 1st Round
May 12
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 2nd Round
May 9
Hynek Barton
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Jerome Kym
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Mackenzie McDonald
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Andy Andrade
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, GBR-ECU · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Jiri Lehecka
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Tomas Machac
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Cristian Garin
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Billy Harris
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–84 matches
| Metric | Garin | Samuel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 76% |
| Sets won | 53% | 72% |
| Games won | 52% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Garin | Samuel |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Garin | Samuel |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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