Cristian Garin vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇨🇱Cristian Garin
#131 · 30 yrs · R
4w3 meetings · sets 3–5

🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#258 · 33 yrs · R
5wCristian Garin and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 3 times since 2019; Roberto Carballes Baena leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Barcelona in 2019 on clay. On clay courts Baena leads 2–1. Across all meetings Garin has taken 3 sets to Baena's 5. Their most recent meeting: Roberto Carballes Baena won at Braunschweig Challenger (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Garin | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cristian Garin | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 12/21 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 69% | 11/16 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 54% | 20/37 | 43% | 20/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 10/22 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 8/12 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 83% | 20/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 12/23 | 58% | 14/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Garin 0, Carballes Baena 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Garin
🪃 Counterpuncher
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Cristian Garin and Roberto Carballes Baena are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,190 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 11, 2024
Braunschweig Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Feb 20, 2024
Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 16, 2019
Barcelona
C Clay · Round of 16
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Garin | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–1 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.70 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | +39.7% | -54.3% |
| Units P/L | +1.19u | -3.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Garin and Baena posted a 25% win rate.
| Opponent | Garin | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Jesper de Jong | W 75 16 61 | L 36 26 |
| Lautaro Midon | L 36 75 46 | W 64 76 |
| Sebastian Baez | L 67 61 57 | L 46 26 |
| Alexander Blockx | L 64 57 57 | L 67 63 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Toby Samuel
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Elias Ymer
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Spencer Johnson
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Learner Tien
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 26
Henri Squire
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 16
Lautaro Midon
Oeiras 4 Challenger · 1st Round
May 12
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 2nd Round
May 9
Alexander Ritschard
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Pedro Vives Marcos
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Jacob Fearnley
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–46 matches
| Metric | Garin | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 52% |
| Sets won | 53% | 52% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Garin | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Garin | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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