Cristian Garin vs Elias YmerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Cristian Garin and Elias Ymer have met 3 times since 2022; Cristian Garin leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2022 on grass. Garin has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Garin has taken 7 sets to Ymer's 0. Their most recent meeting: Cristian Garin won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Garin | Ymer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cristian Garin | Elias Ymer | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 12/21 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 69% | 11/16 | 38% | 10/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 54% | 20/37 | 42% | 23/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 10/22 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 8/12 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | 59% | 17/29 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 86% | 25/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 12/23 | 55% | 16/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Garin 2, Ymer 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Garin
🪃 Counterpuncher
Ymer
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 26, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 14, 2025
Oeiras 5 Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jun 28, 2022
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Garin | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–1 | 4–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.70 | 2.40 |
| ROI % | +39.7% | -55.8% |
| Units P/L | +1.19u | -7.25u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Garin | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 4 |
| Matches | — | 7 |
| Distance | — | 1,797 mi · 2,892 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Garin has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Ymer's 25%).
| Opponent | Garin | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Timofey Skatov | W 61 62 | L 46 16 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | W 75 60 | W 26 63 76 |
| Genaro Alberto Olivieri | W 64 64 | L 26 67 |
| Martin Damm | L 62 46 67 | L 36 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Toby Samuel
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Elias Ymer
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Spencer Johnson
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Learner Tien
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 26
Henri Squire
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 16
Lautaro Midon
Oeiras 4 Challenger · 1st Round
May 12
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 2nd Round
May 9
Mattia Bellucci
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Federico Cina
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Terence Atmane
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alexis Galarneau
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Marat Sharipov
Guangzhou Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Luca Castelnuovo
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Semen Pankin
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Pavel Kotov
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–56 matches
| Metric | Garin | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 52% |
| Sets won | 53% | 50% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Garin | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Garin | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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