Corentin Moutet vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇫🇷Corentin Moutet
#62 · 27 yrs · L
4w6 meetings · sets 8–6
🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#209 · 33 yrs · R
5wCorentin Moutet and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 6 times since 2017; Corentin Moutet leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at Noumea in 2017 on hard. On hard courts Baena leads 2–1. On clay courts Moutet leads 2–0. Across all meetings Moutet has taken 8 sets to Baena's 6. Their most recent meeting: Roberto Carballes Baena won at Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moutet | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Corentin Moutet | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 10/24 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 15/43 | 43% | 20/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 13/25 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 9/17 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 5/10 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 85% | 22/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 14/23 | 58% | 15/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moutet 2, Carballes Baena 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moutet
⚙️ Grinder
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,208 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Sep 19, 2024
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 26, 2024
Movistar Chile Open - Santiago
C Clay · 1st Round
Jun 27, 2023
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca
G Grass · 2nd Round
Jan 10, 2022
Adelaide 2
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 1, 2020
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 4, 2017
Noumea
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Moutet | Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Corentin Moutet | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Moutet | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–5 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.24 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | -37.9% | -20.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.65u | -2.84u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moutet | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | CAN | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Moutet and Baena posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Moutet | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Vit Kopriva | L 36 75 46 63 36 | L 16 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Marton Fucsovics
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Jenson Brooksby
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Marcos Giron
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Abdullah Shelbayh
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round
Jun 22
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Nick Kyrgios
Boss Open - Stuttgart · 1st Round
Jun 9
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Mackenzie McDonald
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Mark Ceban
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Sebastian Ofner
Parma Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Stefano Travaglia
Parma Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Miguel Damas
Parma Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–47 matches
| Metric | Moutet | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 55% |
| Sets won | 47% | 54% |
| Games won | 49% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moutet | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 2 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moutet | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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