Corentin Moutet vs Learner TienPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π«π·Corentin Moutet
#62 Β· 27 yrs Β· L
4w3 meetings Β· sets 3β5

πΊπΈLearner Tien
#15 Β· 20 yrs Β· L
Corentin Moutet and Learner Tien have met 3 times since 2025; Learner Tien leads 2β1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Tien leads 2β0. Across all meetings Moutet has taken 3 sets to Tien's 5. Their most recent meeting: Learner Tien won at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moutet | Tien | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Corentin Moutet | Learner Tien | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | 50% | 16/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 10/24 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 15/43 | 46% | 22/48 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 13/25 | 46% | 13/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 9/17 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 5/10 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 92% | 24/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 14/23 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moutet 1, Tien 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moutet
βοΈ Grinder
Tien
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The π₯ Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs βοΈ Grinder across 1,211 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Learner Tien.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 4, 2025
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Jun 26, 2025
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca
G Grass Β· Quarterfinals
Jan 18, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard Β· 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Moutet | Tien | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Corentin Moutet | Learner Tien | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 67% | 8/12 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Moutet | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2β5 | 7β5 |
| Avg odds | 2.24 | 1.62 |
| ROI % | -37.9% | -14.6% |
| Units P/L | -2.65u | -1.75u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moutet | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi Β· 0 km | 712 mi Β· 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN β USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Tien has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Moutet's 30%).
| Opponent | Moutet | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Paul | L 64 36 46 | W 63 62 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 64 16 36 | L 16 46 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 61 62 | L 76 46 67 36 |
| Marcos Giron | L 64 46 57 46 | W 76 46 36 76 62 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 46 36 | W 46 61 76 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 36 57 | W 61 46 76 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 75 64 | W 64 36 61 |
| Damir Dzumhur | W 63 60 | W 62 61 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 16 46 | L 16 26 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 26 46 | L 36 76 16 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Marton Fucsovics
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Jenson Brooksby
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos Β· 1st Round
Jul 29
Marcos Giron
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 30
Abdullah Shelbayh
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca Β· 1st Round
Jun 22
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships - London Β· 2nd Round
Jun 18
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
HSBC Championships - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 16
Nick Kyrgios
Boss Open - Stuttgart Β· 1st Round
Jun 9
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 19
Sebastian Baez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· Semifinals
Aug 13
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 4th Round
Aug 9
Tommy Paul
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 3rd Round
Aug 8
Gael Monfils
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 2nd Round
Aug 6
Adrian Mannarino
Citi Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 47β63 matches
| Metric | Moutet | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 68% |
| Sets won | 47% | 61% |
| Games won | 49% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moutet | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moutet | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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