Corentin Moutet vs Elias YmerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Corentin Moutet and Elias Ymer have met 4 times since 2017; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Lyon in 2017 on clay. On clay courts they are level 2–2. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Moutet leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Moutet has taken 5 sets to Ymer's 4. Their most recent meeting: Elias Ymer won at Gstaad (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moutet | Ymer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Corentin Moutet | Elias Ymer | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | 57% | 12/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 10/24 | 35% | 8/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 15/43 | 39% | 17/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 13/25 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 9/17 | 54% | 14/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 5/10 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 95% | 19/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 14/23 | 60% | 12/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moutet 2, Ymer 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moutet
⚙️ Grinder
Ymer
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 460 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elias Ymer.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 18, 2022
Gstaad
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jul 5, 2022
Salzburg Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Jun 16, 2019
Lyon
C Clay · Final
Jun 7, 2017
Lyon
C Clay · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Moutet | Ymer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Corentin Moutet | Elias Ymer | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Moutet | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–5 | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.24 | 2.28 |
| ROI % | -37.9% | -15.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.65u | -1.65u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moutet | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,463 mi · 2,354 km |
| Route | CAN | USA → JAM |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Moutet has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Ymer's 50%).
| Opponent | Moutet | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | W 76 64 | W 26 63 76 |
| Aleksandr Shevchenko | W 75 63 | L 63 57 46 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Marton Fucsovics
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Jenson Brooksby
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Marcos Giron
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Abdullah Shelbayh
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round
Jun 22
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Nick Kyrgios
Boss Open - Stuttgart · 1st Round
Jun 9
Daniil Glinka
Kingston 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Paul Jubb
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 17
Federico Cina
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 3
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Timofey Skatov
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Henry Searle
Dublin Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Ugo Humbert
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 1st Round
Jun 8
Niels Visker
Libema Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–47 matches
| Metric | Moutet | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 47% |
| Sets won | 47% | 47% |
| Games won | 49% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moutet | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moutet | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 2 |
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