Clement Chidekh vs Naoki NakagawaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ซ๐ทClement Chidekh
#146 ยท 25 yrs ยท R
5Title2 meetings ยท sets 2โ3
๐ฏ๐ตNaoki Nakagawa
#669 ยท 29 yrs ยท R
6wClement Chidekh and Naoki Nakagawa have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1โ1. Their first meeting came at Chicago in 2024 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1โ1. Across all meetings Chidekh has taken 2 sets to Nakagawa's 3. Their most recent meeting: Clement Chidekh won at M25 Southaven (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Chidekh | Nakagawa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Clement Chidekh | Naoki Nakagawa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 37/54 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 9/26 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 26/80 | 30% | 10/33 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 32/57 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 16/24 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 46/52 | 89% | 16/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 37/52 | 72% | 13/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Chidekh 0, Nakagawa 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Chidekh
๐ช Counterpuncher
Nakagawa
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐ช Counterpuncher vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 5, 2026
M25 Southaven
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Jul 21, 2024
Chicago
H Hard ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Chidekh | Nakagawa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Clement Chidekh | Naoki Nakagawa | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 24/26 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 42% | 11/26 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 5 or more | 19% | 5/26 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Chidekh | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 21โ5 | 6โ2 |
| Avg odds | 1.47 | 1.93 |
| ROI % | +5.3% | +9.3% |
| Units P/L | +1.37u | +0.74u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Chidekh | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | โ |
| Events | 2 | โ |
| Matches | 7 | โ |
| Distance | 98 mi ยท 158 km | โ |
| Route | FRA | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Chidekh has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Nakagawa's 0%).
| Opponent | Chidekh | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Cruz Hewitt | W 46 62 63 | L 46 63 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger ยท Final
Oct 4
Henry Bernet
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger ยท Semifinals
Oct 3
Harold Mayot
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Ugo Blanchet
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Oct 1
David Goffin
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 29
Harold Mayot
Rennes Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Lucas Poullain
Rennes Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Sep 16
Finn Bass
Rennes Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 15
Ryuki Matsuda
M25 Urayasu ยท Final
Sep 6
Kuan-Yi Lee
M25 Urayasu ยท Semifinals
Sep 5
Ryota Tanuma
M25 Urayasu ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Naoya Honda
M25 Urayasu ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Yua Taka
M25 Urayasu ยท 1st Round
Sep 2
Max Sheldon
M25 East Lansing ยท 2nd Round
Aug 13
Cooper Woestendick
M25 East Lansing ยท 1st Round
Aug 12
Clement Chidekh
M25 Southaven ยท 1st Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 33โ80 matches
| Metric | Chidekh | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 58% |
| Sets won | 63% | 55% |
| Games won | 55% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Chidekh | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Chidekh | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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