Clara Tauson vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇩🇰Clara Tauson
#42 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 2–6
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#83 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
5wClara Tauson and Paula Badosa have met 4 times since 2021; Paula Badosa leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Open 6 Sens - Lyon in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Badosa leads 3–1. Badosa has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Tauson has taken 2 sets to Badosa's 6. Their most recent meeting: Paula Badosa won at Miami Open - Miami (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tauson | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Clara Tauson | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 10/20 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 15/39 | 33% | 13/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 13/29 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 6/9 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 17/21 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 14/21 | 78% | 18/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tauson 1, Badosa 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tauson
🤖 Servebot
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 23, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 7, 2024
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 22, 2022
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 6, 2021
Open 6 Sens - Lyon
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tauson | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Clara Tauson | Paula Badosa | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 10/15 | 35% | 6/17 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tauson | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–8 | 13–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 1.70 |
| ROI % | -14.1% | +18.2% |
| Units P/L | -2.25u | +3.09u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tauson | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Badosa has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Tauson's 44%).
| Opponent | Tauson | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Linda Noskova | L 67 26 | L 16 36 |
| Simona Waltert | W 63 61 | W 75 75 |
| Yulia Putintseva | W 76 62 | W 61 62 |
| Maria Sakkari | L 36 36 | W 63 64 |
| Daria Snigur | L 63 57 26 | L 16 67 |
| Eva Lys | W 62 76 | L 62 57 46 |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | L 26 36 | W 75 63 |
| Katerina Siniakova | L 46 16 | W 63 75 |
| Antonia Ruzic | W 64 60 | W 63 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Renata Zarazua
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Linda Noskova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Peyton Stearns
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Nikola Bartunkova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Barbora Krejcikova
Athens Open - Athens · Semifinals
Jul 18
Mayar Sherif
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Panna Udvardy
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Katarzyna Kawa
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 22
Tamara Zidansek
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Semifinals
Jul 18
Panna Udvardy
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Alevtina Ibragimova
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Anhelina Kalinina
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 14
Simona Waltert
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–39 matches
| Metric | Tauson | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 59% |
| Sets won | 52% | 59% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tauson | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tauson | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
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