Clara Tauson vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇩🇰Clara Tauson
#53 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
44 meetings · sets 2–6
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#58 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Clara Tauson and Paula Badosa have met 4 times since 2021; Paula Badosa leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Open 6 Sens - Lyon in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Badosa leads 3–1. Badosa has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Tauson has taken 2 sets to Badosa's 6. Their most recent meeting: Paula Badosa won at Miami Open - Miami (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tauson | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Clara Tauson | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 11/16 | 74% | 20/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 10/20 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 15/36 | 31% | 14/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 10/27 | 51% | 19/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 6/9 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 4/10 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 14/18 | 88% | 21/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 11/18 | 83% | 20/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tauson 1, Badosa 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tauson
🤖 Servebot
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 23, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 7, 2024
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 22, 2022
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 6, 2021
Open 6 Sens - Lyon
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tauson | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Clara Tauson | Paula Badosa | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 10/12 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 21% | 3/14 |
| 10 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tauson | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–8 | 10–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 1.72 |
| ROI % | -40.0% | -3.7% |
| Units P/L | -5.20u | -0.52u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tauson | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 6 |
| Distance | 654 mi · 1,053 km | 10,936 mi · 17,599 km |
| Route | ROU → CZE | BRA → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Badosa has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Tauson's 25%).
| Opponent | Tauson | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Marie Bouzkova | L | L 63 36 46 |
| Linda Noskova | L 67 26 | L 16 36 |
| Simona Waltert | W 63 61 | W 75 75 |
| Yulia Putintseva | W 76 62 | W 61 62 |
| Maria Sakkari | L 36 36 | W 63 64 |
| Daria Snigur | L 63 57 26 | L 16 67 |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | L 26 36 | W 75 63 |
| Katerina Siniakova | L 46 16 | W 63 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Marie Bouzkova
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Polina Kudermetova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Sloane Stephens
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Renata Zarazua
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Linda Noskova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Peyton Stearns
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Daria Kasatkina
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Nadia Podoroska
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Semifinals
Sep 19
Mary Stoiana
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Jazmin Ortenzi
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Justina Mikulskyte
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Daria Kasatkina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 36–45 matches
| Metric | Tauson | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 60% |
| Sets won | 48% | 59% |
| Games won | 50% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tauson | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tauson | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
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