Clara Tauson vs Jelena OstapenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇩🇰Clara Tauson
#42 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 5–4
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#31 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Clara Tauson and Jelena Ostapenko have met 3 times since 2021; Clara Tauson leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at BGL Luxembourg Open - Luxembourg in 2021 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Tauson leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Tauson has taken 5 sets to Ostapenko's 4. Their most recent meeting: Clara Tauson won at French Open - Paris (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tauson | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Clara Tauson | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 10/20 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 15/39 | 41% | 16/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 13/29 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 6/9 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 17/21 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 14/21 | 65% | 15/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tauson 0, Ostapenko 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tauson
🤖 Servebot
Ostapenko
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 1,830 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jelena Ostapenko.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 30, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 1, 2024
Upper Austria Ladies Linz - Linz
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 19, 2021
BGL Luxembourg Open - Luxembourg
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tauson | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Clara Tauson | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 10/15 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tauson | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–8 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | -14.1% | -7.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.25u | -0.54u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tauson | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 6 | 1 |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Tauson and Ostapenko posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Tauson | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | W 76 46 63 | W 64 62 |
| Elisabetta Cocciaretto | L 64 67 67 | W 75 64 |
| Sara Bejlek | W 62 63 | L 46 36 |
| Antonia Ruzic | W 64 60 | W 62 60 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 46 62 36 | W 63 60 |
| Qinwen Zheng | W 57 64 62 | W 46 64 64 |
| Magda Linette | W 64 62 | L 26 62 26 |
| Simona Waltert | W 63 61 | W 62 75 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 36 62 46 | L 64 36 26 |
| Victoria Mboko | L 67 75 36 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Renata Zarazua
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Linda Noskova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Peyton Stearns
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Nikola Bartunkova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Barbora Krejcikova
Athens Open - Athens · Semifinals
Jul 18
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Antonia Ruzic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Harriet Dart
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Zeynep Sonmez
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Panna Udvardy
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Francesca Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Magda Linette
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–39 matches
| Metric | Tauson | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 56% |
| Sets won | 52% | 56% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tauson | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tauson | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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