Clara Tauson vs Jelena OstapenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇩🇰Clara Tauson
#53 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
43 meetings · sets 5–4
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#34 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Clara Tauson and Jelena Ostapenko have met 3 times since 2021; Clara Tauson leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at BGL Luxembourg Open - Luxembourg in 2021 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Tauson leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Tauson has taken 5 sets to Ostapenko's 4. Their most recent meeting: Clara Tauson won at French Open - Paris (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tauson | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Clara Tauson | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 11/16 | 71% | 17/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 10/20 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 15/36 | 40% | 17/42 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 10/27 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 6/9 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 4/10 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 14/18 | 69% | 18/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 11/18 | 65% | 17/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tauson 0, Ostapenko 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tauson
🤖 Servebot
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 30, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 1, 2024
Upper Austria Ladies Linz - Linz
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 19, 2021
BGL Luxembourg Open - Luxembourg
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tauson | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Clara Tauson | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 5 or more | 64% | 7/11 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tauson | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–8 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.91 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | -43.6% | -34.0% |
| Units P/L | -5.23u | -2.04u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tauson | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 654 mi · 1,053 km | 592 mi · 952 km |
| Route | ROU → CZE | POR → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tauson has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Ostapenko's 50%).
| Opponent | Tauson | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | W 76 46 63 | W 64 62 |
| Elisabetta Cocciaretto | L 64 67 67 | W 75 64 |
| Sara Bejlek | W 62 63 | L 46 36 |
| Qinwen Zheng | W 57 64 62 | W 46 64 64 |
| Magda Linette | W 64 62 | L 26 62 26 |
| Simona Waltert | W 63 61 | W 62 75 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 36 62 46 | L 64 36 26 |
| Victoria Mboko | L 67 75 36 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Marie Bouzkova
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Polina Kudermetova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Sloane Stephens
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Renata Zarazua
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Linda Noskova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Peyton Stearns
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Taylah Preston
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 36–42 matches
| Metric | Tauson | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 57% |
| Sets won | 48% | 57% |
| Games won | 50% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tauson | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tauson | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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