Claire Liu vs Iga SwiatekPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Claire Liu
#96 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 0–6
🇵🇱Iga Swiatek
#9 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
Claire Liu and Iga Swiatek have met 3 times since 2023; Iga Swiatek leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Swiatek leads 2–0. Swiatek has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Liu has taken 0 sets to Swiatek's 6. Their most recent meeting: Iga Swiatek won at BNP Paribas Poland Open - Warsaw (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Liu | Swiatek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Claire Liu | Iga Swiatek | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 23/38 | 79% | 33/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 24/60 | 33% | 19/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 19/41 | 57% | 32/56 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 12/18 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 6/16 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 27/32 | 86% | 37/43 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 23/32 | 77% | 33/43 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Liu 0, Swiatek 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Liu
💥 Big Hitter
Swiatek
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 27, 2023
BNP Paribas Poland Open - Warsaw
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 1, 2023
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Mar 11, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Liu | Swiatek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Claire Liu | Iga Swiatek | ||
| 1 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 77% | 13/17 |
| 3 or more | 60% | 6/10 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 5/10 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Liu | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 15–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.55 | 1.22 |
| ROI % | -12.7% | +1.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.52u | +0.24u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Liu | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | BRA → ROU → CZE | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Swiatek has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Liu's 20%).
| Opponent | Liu | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Maria Sakkari | L 76 36 36 | W 46 61 61 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 26 64 64 | L 67 26 |
| Coco Gauff | L 36 76 26 | L 46 26 |
| Kayla Day | L 46 16 | W 60 76 |
| Maddison Inglis | L 67 62 46 | W 60 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lanlana Tararudee
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Rebecca Sramkova
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Elsa Jacquemot
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 1st Round
Oct 5
Mary Stoiana
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Anna Blinkova
Kia Open - Barranquilla · Final
Sep 12
Leolia Jeanjean
Kia Open - Barranquilla · Semifinals
Sep 11
Kaitlin Quevedo
Kia Open - Barranquilla · Quarterfinals
Sep 10
Varvara Lepchenko
Kia Open - Barranquilla · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Iva Jovic
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Donna Vekic
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Xinyu Gao
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Marie Bouzkova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Nadia Podoroska
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Xiyu Wang
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–60 matches
| Metric | Liu | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 72% |
| Sets won | 59% | 70% |
| Games won | 54% | 60% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Liu | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Liu | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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