Claire Liu vs Iga SwiatekPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Claire Liu
#111 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
7w3 meetings · sets 0–6
🇵🇱Iga Swiatek
#8 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
Claire Liu and Iga Swiatek have met 3 times since 2023; Iga Swiatek leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Swiatek leads 2–0. Swiatek has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Liu has taken 0 sets to Swiatek's 6. Their most recent meeting: Iga Swiatek won at BNP Paribas Poland Open - Warsaw (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Liu | Swiatek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Claire Liu | Iga Swiatek | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 42% | 11/26 | 80% | 35/44 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 8/16 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 55% | 23/42 | 33% | 20/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 8/26 | 58% | 34/59 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 10/15 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 7/16 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 14/18 | 87% | 39/45 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 11/18 | 78% | 35/45 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Liu 0, Swiatek 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Liu
💥 Big Hitter
Swiatek
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 27, 2023
BNP Paribas Poland Open - Warsaw
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 1, 2023
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Mar 11, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Liu | Swiatek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Claire Liu | Iga Swiatek | ||
| 1 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 3 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Liu | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | 10–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.30 | 1.24 |
| ROI % | -3.7% | -6.7% |
| Units P/L | -0.33u | -0.87u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Liu | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 9 |
| Distance | — | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | — | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Swiatek has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Liu's 25%).
| Opponent | Liu | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Maria Sakkari | L 76 36 36 | W 46 61 61 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 26 64 64 | L 67 26 |
| Coco Gauff | L 36 76 26 | L 46 26 |
| Kayla Day | L 46 16 | W 60 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yulia Putintseva
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 14
Sinja Kraus
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 7
Coco Gauff
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Zeynep Sonmez
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Hanne Vandewinkel
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Elena Pridankina
Wimbledon
Jun 25
Kaitlin Quevedo
Wimbledon
Jun 24
Despina Papamichail
Wimbledon
Jun 23
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Maria Sakkari
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Emiliana Arango
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Viktorija Golubic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–61 matches
| Metric | Liu | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 72% |
| Sets won | 56% | 70% |
| Games won | 52% | 60% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Liu | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Liu | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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