Christopher O'Connell vs Elias YmerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Christopher O'Connell and Elias Ymer have met 4 times since 2017; Elias Ymer leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Poprad Tatry in 2017 on clay. On clay courts Ymer leads 3–0. Ymer has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings O'Connell has taken 1 sets to Ymer's 8. Their most recent meeting: Elias Ymer won at Birmingham Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | O'Connell | Ymer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Christopher O'Connell | Elias Ymer | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 18/24 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 6/20 | 38% | 10/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 12/44 | 43% | 23/54 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 10/17 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 54% | 13/24 | 53% | 16/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 12/24 | 57% | 16/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 19/21 | 86% | 24/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 18/21 | 54% | 15/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (O'Connell 0, Ymer 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
O'Connell
🤖 Servebot
Ymer
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 3, 2026
Birmingham Challenger
G Grass · 1st Round
May 17, 2025
Hamburg
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27, 2020
Roland Garros
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 10, 2017
Poprad Tatry
C Clay · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | O'Connell | Ymer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Christopher O'Connell | Elias Ymer | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 14% | 2/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | O'Connell | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–3 | 4–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.42 | 2.40 |
| ROI % | +26.8% | -55.8% |
| Units P/L | +2.41u | -7.25u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | O'Connell | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 4 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | 1,797 mi · 2,892 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ymer has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs O'Connell's 50%).
| Opponent | O'Connell | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Aleksandr Shevchenko | W 64 61 | L 63 57 46 16 |
| Mackenzie McDonald | L 36 46 46 | W 76 46 64 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | W 64 64 | W 26 63 76 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 46 16 | L 46 36 |
| Nicolas Mejia | W 76 63 | W 64 64 |
| Jacob Fearnley | L 67 67 | W 62 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zsombor Piros
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Stefanos Sakellaridis
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Casper Ruud
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Kamil Majchrzak
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Dane Sweeny
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Mattia Bellucci
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Federico Cina
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Terence Atmane
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alexis Galarneau
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Marat Sharipov
Guangzhou Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Luca Castelnuovo
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Semen Pankin
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Pavel Kotov
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–55 matches
| Metric | O'Connell | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 51% |
| Sets won | 52% | 50% |
| Games won | 50% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | O'Connell | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | O'Connell | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 3 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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