Christopher O'Connell vs Elias YmerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Christopher O'Connell and Elias Ymer have met 4 times since 2017; Elias Ymer leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Poprad Tatry in 2017 on clay. On clay courts Ymer leads 3–0. Ymer has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings O'Connell has taken 1 sets to Ymer's 8. Their most recent meeting: Elias Ymer won at Birmingham Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | O'Connell | Ymer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Christopher O'Connell | Elias Ymer | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 18/23 | 57% | 12/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 6/22 | 35% | 8/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 24% | 11/45 | 39% | 17/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 65% | 11/17 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 12/25 | 54% | 14/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 11/22 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 95% | 19/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 60% | 12/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (O'Connell 0, Ymer 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
O'Connell
🤖 Servebot
Ymer
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 3, 2026
Birmingham Challenger
G Grass · 1st Round
May 17, 2025
Hamburg
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27, 2020
Roland Garros
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 10, 2017
Poprad Tatry
C Clay · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | O'Connell | Ymer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Christopher O'Connell | Elias Ymer | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 5 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 10 or more | 50% | 5/10 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | O'Connell | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.27 | 2.28 |
| ROI % | +18.5% | -15.0% |
| Units P/L | +2.41u | -1.65u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | O'Connell | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 1,463 mi · 2,354 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | USA → JAM |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ymer has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs O'Connell's 25%).
| Opponent | O'Connell | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | W 64 64 | W 26 63 76 |
| Mackenzie McDonald | L 36 46 46 | W 76 46 64 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 46 16 | L 46 36 |
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | L 67 64 46 | L 26 16 |
| Dusan Lajovic | L 46 36 | L 67 76 16 |
| Nicolas Mejia | W 76 63 | W 64 64 |
| Jacob Fearnley | L 67 67 | W 62 62 |
| Denis Shapovalov | L 36 26 | L 46 76 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Kamil Majchrzak
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
James Duckworth
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Joel Schwaerzler
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Mackenzie McDonald
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 25
Bernard Tomic
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Otto Virtanen
Nottingham 2 Challenger · Final
Jun 20
Remy Bertola
Nottingham 2 Challenger · Semifinals
Jun 19
Daniil Glinka
Kingston 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Paul Jubb
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 17
Federico Cina
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 3
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Timofey Skatov
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Henry Searle
Dublin Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Ugo Humbert
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 1st Round
Jun 8
Niels Visker
Libema Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–47 matches
| Metric | O'Connell | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 47% |
| Sets won | 50% | 47% |
| Games won | 49% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | O'Connell | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | O'Connell | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 3 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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