Carlos Maria Zarate vs Nicolas OliveiraPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇷Carlos Maria Zarate
#377 · 21 yrs · R
42 meetings · sets 4–1
🇧🇷Nicolas Oliveira
#798 · 20 yrs · R
4wCarlos Maria Zarate and Nicolas Oliveira have met 2 times since 2026; Carlos Maria Zarate leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at M25 Cuiaba in 2026 on clay. On clay courts Zarate leads 2–0. Zarate has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Zarate has taken 4 sets to Oliveira's 1. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Maria Zarate won at M25 Londrina (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Maria Zarate | Oliveira | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Maria Zarate | Nicolas Oliveira | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 36/55 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 10/30 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 29/85 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 9/21 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 74% | 17/23 | 100% | 9/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 59% | 17/29 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 46/50 | 92% | 11/12 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 36/50 | 83% | 10/12 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Maria Zarate 1, Oliveira 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zarate
🪃 Counterpuncher
Oliveira
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Carlos Maria Zarate and Nicolas Oliveira are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,818 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 5, 2026
M25 Londrina
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jun 6, 2026
M25 Cuiaba
C Clay · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zarate | Oliveira | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Carlos Maria Zarate | Nicolas Oliveira | ||
| 1 or more | 85% | 23/27 | 72% | 13/18 |
| 3 or more | 44% | 12/27 | 39% | 7/18 |
| 5 or more | 7% | 2/27 | 6% | 1/18 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/27 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/27 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/27 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zarate | Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–4 | 8–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.63 | 2.17 |
| ROI % | +23.0% | +29.6% |
| Units P/L | +3.91u | +3.55u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zarate | Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 8 | 2 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | BRA → ARG | BRA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Oliveira has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs Zarate's 67%).
| Opponent | Zarate | Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | L 67 63 67 | L 46 76 46 |
| Kaua Emanuel Pereira Dos Santos | W 63 60 | W 46 76 63 |
| Salvador Price | W 63 67 63 | W 62 64 |
| Nick Hardt | L 26 26 | L 62 46 46 |
| Juan Sebastian Osorio | W 63 64 | W 76 61 |
| Juan Manuel La Serna | L 36 76 16 | W 75 64 |
| Ryan Augusto Dos Santos | W 64 46 76 | W 63 76 |
| Ryan Augusto Dos Santos | W 64 46 76 | W 63 76 |
| Bruno Fernandez | W 63 63 | W 36 63 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Bastian Malla
M15 Mar Del Plata · Semifinals
Aug 29
Tomas Martinez
M15 Mar Del Plata · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Santiago Giamichelle
M15 Mar Del Plata · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Manuel Mouilleron Salvo
M15 Mar Del Plata · 1st Round
Aug 26
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
M25 Londrina · Semifinals
Aug 7
Gustavo Ribeiro De Almeida
M25 Londrina · Quarterfinals
Aug 6
Nicolas Oliveira
M25 Londrina · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Gabriel Schenekenberg
M25 Londrina · 1st Round
Aug 4
Carlos Maria Zarate
M25 Londrina · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Andre Souza
M25 Londrina · 1st Round
Aug 4
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
M15 Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Martin Vergara Del Puerto
M15 Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Jul 28
Martin Antonio Vergara Del Puerto
M15 Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Jul 28
Nicolas Zanellato
M25 Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Jul 21
Nick Hardt
Piracicaba Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 25
Conner Huertas del Pino
Piracicaba challenger
Jun 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 21–86 matches
| Metric | Zarate | Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 76% |
| Sets won | 61% | 69% |
| Games won | 54% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zarate | Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zarate | Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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