Carlos Maria Zarate vs Nicolas OliveiraPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carlos Maria Zarate and Nicolas Oliveira have met 2 times since 2026; Carlos Maria Zarate leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at M25 Cuiaba in 2026 on clay. On clay courts Zarate leads 2–0. Zarate has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Zarate has taken 4 sets to Oliveira's 1. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Maria Zarate won at M25 Londrina (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Maria Zarate | Oliveira | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Maria Zarate | Nicolas Oliveira | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 38/55 | 67% | 12/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 8/29 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 25/84 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 13/26 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 13/19 | 90% | 9/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 17/27 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 47/50 | 93% | 13/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 38/50 | 86% | 12/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Maria Zarate 1, Oliveira 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zarate
🪃 Counterpuncher
Oliveira
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Carlos Maria Zarate and Nicolas Oliveira are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,190 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 5, 2026
M25 Londrina
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jun 6, 2026
M25 Cuiaba
C Clay · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zarate | Oliveira | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Carlos Maria Zarate | Nicolas Oliveira | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 21/23 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 3 or more | 39% | 9/23 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 5 or more | 9% | 2/23 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zarate | Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | 2–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.65 | 1.91 |
| ROI % | -10.0% | -57.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.40u | -2.87u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zarate | Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 1 |
| Distance | 835 mi · 1,344 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ARG → BRA | USA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 9 shared opponents, both Zarate and Oliveira posted a 67% win rate.
| Opponent | Zarate | Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | L 67 63 67 | L 46 76 46 |
| Kaua Emanuel Pereira Dos Santos | W 63 60 | L 46 46 |
| Salvador Price | W 63 67 63 | W 62 64 |
| Nick Hardt | L 26 26 | L 62 46 46 |
| Arklon Huertas Del Pino | W 63 76 | W 61 64 |
| Juan Manuel La Serna | L 36 76 16 | W 75 64 |
| Ryan Augusto Dos Santos | W 64 46 76 | W 63 76 |
| Ryan Augusto Dos Santos | W 64 46 76 | W 63 76 |
| Bruno Fernandez | W 63 63 | W 36 63 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Lorenzo Gagliardo
M15 Trelew · Final
Sep 5
Felix Corwin
M15 Trelew · Semifinals
Sep 4
Valentino Grippo
M15 Trelew · Quarterfinals
Sep 3
Giovanni Branchetti
M15 Trelew · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Nicolas Bruna
M15 Trelew · 1st Round
Sep 1
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
M15 Mar Del Plata · Final
Aug 30
Li Tu
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Carlos Maria Zarate
M25 Londrina · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Andre Souza
M25 Londrina · 1st Round
Aug 4
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
M15 Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Martin Vergara Del Puerto
M15 Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Jul 28
Nicolas Zanellato
M25 Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Jul 21
Nick Hardt
Piracicaba Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 25
Conner Huertas del Pino
Piracicaba challenger
Jun 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 24–85 matches
| Metric | Zarate | Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 75% |
| Sets won | 61% | 68% |
| Games won | 54% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zarate | Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zarate | Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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