Carlos Maria Zarate vs Mateo CarballoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carlos Maria Zarate and Mateo Carballo have met 2 times since 2025; Carlos Maria Zarate leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at M25 Mar Del Plata 1 in 2025 on clay. On clay courts Zarate leads 2–0. Zarate has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Zarate has taken 4 sets to Carballo's 0. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Maria Zarate won at M15 La Plata 1 (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Maria Zarate | Carballo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Maria Zarate | Mateo Carballo | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 38/55 | 100% | 2/2 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 8/29 | 20% | 2/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 25/84 | 17% | 2/12 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 13/26 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 13/19 | 0% | 0/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 17/27 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 47/50 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 38/50 | 67% | 2/3 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Maria Zarate 2, Carballo 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zarate
🪃 Counterpuncher
Carballo
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 55% vs 🧱 The Wall across 685 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Carlos Maria Zarate.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Mar 10, 2026
M15 La Plata 1
C Clay · 1st Round
Sep 2, 2025
M25 Mar Del Plata 1
C Clay · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zarate | Carballo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.65 | - |
| ROI % | -10.0% | - |
| Units P/L | -1.40u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zarate | Carballo |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 835 mi · 1,344 km | — |
| Route | ARG → BRA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Zarate has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Carballo's 25%).
| Opponent | Zarate | Carballo |
|---|---|---|
| Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | L 26 16 | L 26 16 |
| Tomas Martinez | W 64 61 | L 26 16 |
| Manuel Mouilleron Salvo | W 63 64 | L 16 36 |
| Kaua Emanuel Pereira Dos Santos | W 63 60 | W 60 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Lorenzo Gagliardo
M15 Trelew · Final
Sep 5
Felix Corwin
M15 Trelew · Semifinals
Sep 4
Valentino Grippo
M15 Trelew · Quarterfinals
Sep 3
Giovanni Branchetti
M15 Trelew · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Nicolas Bruna
M15 Trelew · 1st Round
Sep 1
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
M15 Mar Del Plata · Final
Aug 30
Luka Bojicic Ono
M15 Maringa · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Manuel Mouilleron Salvo
M15 San Salvador de Jujuy · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 6
thomas Menzel
M15 San Salvador de Jujuy · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 5
Julian Cundom
AAT Challenger IEB+ Edicion San Miguel de Tucuman · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Valentin Garay
M25 Villa Maria · 3rd Round Qualifying
May 5
Christian Fladung
M25 Villa Maria · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 4
Jeronimo Paulo Mazzei
M25 Villa Maria · 1st Round Qualifying
May 3
Luc Ananda Ceuca
M25 Lujan · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 12–85 matches
| Metric | Zarate | Carballo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 17% |
| Sets won | 61% | 23% |
| Games won | 54% | 35% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zarate | Carballo |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zarate | Carballo |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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