Carlos Maria Zarate vs Joaquin Aguilar CardozoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇷Carlos Maria Zarate
#352 · 21 yrs · R
2 meetings · sets 0–4
🇺🇾Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
#342 · 21 yrs · R
Carlos Maria Zarate and Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo have met 2 times since 2026; Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at M15 Mar Del Plata in 2026 on clay. On clay courts Cardozo leads 2–0. Cardozo has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Cardozo leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Zarate has taken 0 sets to Cardozo's 4. Their most recent meeting: Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo won at Buenos Aires Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Maria Zarate | Aguilar Cardozo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Maria Zarate | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 38/55 | 75% | 39/52 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 8/29 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 25/84 | 26% | 17/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 13/26 | 73% | 32/44 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 13/19 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 17/27 | 25% | 3/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 47/50 | 96% | 47/49 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 38/50 | 80% | 39/49 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Maria Zarate 0, Aguilar Cardozo 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zarate
🪃 Counterpuncher
Cardozo
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Carlos Maria Zarate.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 22, 2026
Buenos Aires Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 30, 2026
M15 Mar Del Plata
C Clay · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zarate | Cardozo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Carlos Maria Zarate | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 21/23 | 58% | 15/26 |
| 3 or more | 39% | 9/23 | 4% | 1/26 |
| 5 or more | 9% | 2/23 | 0% | 0/26 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 0% | 0/26 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 0% | 0/26 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 0% | 0/26 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zarate | Cardozo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | 23–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.65 | 1.35 |
| ROI % | -10.0% | +22.2% |
| Units P/L | -1.40u | +5.56u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zarate | Cardozo |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 6 |
| Distance | 835 mi · 1,344 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ARG → BRA | ARG |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cardozo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Zarate's 60%).
| Opponent | Zarate | Cardozo |
|---|---|---|
| Lautaro Midon | L 46 26 | L 67 62 67 |
| Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | L 16 76 67 | W 63 06 63 |
| Felipe Meligeni Alves | L 46 26 | L |
| Juan Pablo Varillas | L 36 36 | W 62 64 |
| Mateo Del Pino | W 64 62 | W 61 62 |
| Lorenzo Gagliardo | W 63 64 | W 61 63 |
| Felix Corwin | W 75 62 | W 75 46 63 |
| Nicolas Bruna | W 63 76 | W 64 64 |
| Bastian Malla | W 26 63 63 | W 62 75 |
| Kaua Emanuel Pereira Dos Santos | W 63 60 | W 60 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Lorenzo Gagliardo
M15 Trelew · Final
Sep 5
Felix Corwin
M15 Trelew · Semifinals
Sep 4
Valentino Grippo
M15 Trelew · Quarterfinals
Sep 3
Giovanni Branchetti
M15 Trelew · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Nicolas Bruna
M15 Trelew · 1st Round
Sep 1
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
M15 Mar Del Plata · Final
Aug 30
Lautaro Midon
Antofagasta Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Nicolas Villalon
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Antofagasta Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Santiago De La Fuente
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Alex Barrena
Buenos Aires Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 26
Juan Pablo Varillas
Buenos Aires Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Francisco Comesana
Buenos Aires Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Carlos Maria Zarate
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 66–85 matches
| Metric | Zarate | Cardozo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 79% |
| Sets won | 61% | 72% |
| Games won | 54% | 61% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zarate | Cardozo |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zarate | Cardozo |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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