Brandon Holt vs Mackenzie McDonaldPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Brandon Holt and Mackenzie McDonald have met 3 times since 2025; Mackenzie McDonald leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open in 2025 on hard. On hard courts McDonald leads 3–0. McDonald has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Holt has taken 2 sets to McDonald's 6. Their most recent meeting: Mackenzie McDonald won at Jinan Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Holt | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Holt | Mackenzie McDonald | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 2/4 | 68% | 17/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 2/7 | 24% | 6/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 4/11 | 28% | 14/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 20% | 1/5 | 50% | 15/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 2/6 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/1 | 41% | 7/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 2/2 | 87% | 20/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 100% | 2/2 | 74% | 17/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Holt 0, McDonald 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Holt
💥 Big Hitter
McDonald
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,211 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Brandon Holt.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 10, 2025
Jinan Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 17, 2025
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 8, 2025
Australian Open
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Holt | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.96 |
| ROI % | - | -24.7% |
| Units P/L | - | -2.72u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Holt | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Holt has a higher win rate against shared opponents (25% vs McDonald's 0%).
| Opponent | Holt | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Walton | W 64 63 | L 16 36 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 26 57 | L 36 67 |
| Lloyd Harris | L 46 46 | L 46 26 |
| Rei Sakamoto | L 16 57 | L 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jack Pinnington Jones
Canberra Challenger · 1st Round
Jan 6
Kimmer Coppejans
Helsinki Challenger · 1st Round
Nov 4
Rafael Jodar
Lincoln Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 17
Keegan Smith
Lincoln Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 16
Mackenzie McDonald
Jinan Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 10
Adam Walton
Jinan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Maxim Zhukov
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 8
Rei Sakamoto
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Adam Walton
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Patrick Kypson
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Roberto Carballes Baena
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Christopher O'Connell
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 25
Shintaro Mochizuki
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 11–53 matches
| Metric | Holt | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 36% | 49% |
| Sets won | 38% | 48% |
| Games won | 47% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Holt | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Holt | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
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