Brandon Holt vs Mackenzie McDonaldPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Brandon Holt and Mackenzie McDonald have met 3 times since 2025; Mackenzie McDonald leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open in 2025 on hard. On hard courts McDonald leads 3–0. McDonald has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Holt has taken 2 sets to McDonald's 6. Their most recent meeting: Mackenzie McDonald won at Jinan Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Holt | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Holt | Mackenzie McDonald | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 0% | 0/2 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 2/4 | 30% | 8/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 67% | 4/6 | 32% | 15/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/4 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 1/2 | 33% | 6/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 1/1 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 0% | 0/1 | 78% | 14/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 0% | 0/1 | 72% | 13/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Holt 0, McDonald 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Holt
🤖 Servebot
McDonald
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 720 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Brandon Holt.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 10, 2025
Jinan Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 17, 2025
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 8, 2025
Australian Open
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Holt | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 3–7 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.21 |
| ROI % | - | -56.3% |
| Units P/L | - | -5.63u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Holt | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Giulio Zeppieri
Australian Open - Melbourne · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 14
Lukas Neumayer
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 12
Jack Pinnington Jones
Canberra Challenger · 1st Round
Jan 6
Kimmer Coppejans
Helsinki Challenger · 1st Round
Nov 4
Rafael Jodar
Lincoln Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 17
Keegan Smith
Lincoln Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 16
Mackenzie McDonald
Jinan Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 10
Adam Walton
Jinan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Ryan Nijboer
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Toby Samuel
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Dalibor Svrcina
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Thiago Seyboth Wild
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Stefano Napolitano
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Yibing Wu
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 6–50 matches
| Metric | Holt | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 33% | 42% |
| Sets won | 38% | 44% |
| Games won | 48% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Holt | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Holt | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
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