Botic van de Zandschulp vs Luca NardiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ณ๐ฑBotic van de Zandschulp
#71 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
1 meeting ยท sets 2โ0

๐ฎ๐นLuca Nardi
#238 ยท 23 yrs ยท R
7wBotic van de Zandschulp and Luca Nardi have met 1 time since 2024; Botic van de Zandschulp leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Zandschulp has taken 2 sets to Nardi's 0. Their most recent meeting: Botic van de Zandschulp won at Tokyo (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | van de Zandschulp | Nardi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Botic van de Zandschulp | Luca Nardi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 20/25 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 11/27 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 16/52 | 48% | 19/40 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 13/23 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 14/23 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 48% | 14/29 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 22/27 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 20/27 | 65% | 13/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (van de Zandschulp 1, Nardi 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zandschulp
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Nardi
๐น Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐น Frontrunner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 554 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 24, 2024
Tokyo
H Hard ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zandschulp | Nardi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Botic van de Zandschulp | Luca Nardi | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 7/15 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Zandschulp | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9โ7 | 4โ5 |
| Avg odds | 2.29 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | +7.8% | -38.1% |
| Units P/L | +1.25u | -3.43u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zandschulp | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 3 | โ |
| Matches | 9 | โ |
| Distance | 1,024 mi ยท 1,648 km | โ |
| Route | CAN โ USA | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Zandschulp has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Nardi's 0%).
| Opponent | Zandschulp | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 62 36 63 | L 36 67 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 62 62 | L 64 46 26 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | L 36 26 | L 76 46 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Benjamin Bonzi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Luciano Darderi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 3rd Round
Aug 26
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 25
Joao Fonseca
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Jakub Mensik
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 4th Round
Aug 10
Hubert Hurkacz
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 7
Daniil Medvedev
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Andrea Guerrieri
Umag
Jul 11
Otto Virtanen
Wimbledon ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Rio Noguchi
Wimbledon ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Remy Bertola
Nottingham 2 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jun 15
Giles Hussey
Lexus Nottingham Open ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Oscar Weightman
Lexus Nottingham Open ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Jacob Fearnley
Ilkley Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jun 10
Remy Bertola
Perugia Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jun 4
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 41โ58 matches
| Metric | Zandschulp | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 44% |
| Sets won | 51% | 50% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zandschulp | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zandschulp | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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