Botic van de Zandschulp vs Daniel MeridaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Botic van de Zandschulp and Daniel Merida have met 1 time since 2026; Botic van de Zandschulp leads 1–0. Across all meetings Zandschulp has taken 2 sets to Merida's 1. Their most recent meeting: Botic van de Zandschulp won at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | van de Zandschulp | Merida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Botic van de Zandschulp | Daniel Merida | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 60% | 21/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 11/25 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 19/54 | 45% | 25/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 13/25 | 44% | 14/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 17/24 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 14/24 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 23/29 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 21/29 | 68% | 21/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (van de Zandschulp 0, Merida 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zandschulp
💥 Big Hitter
Merida
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 8, 2026
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zandschulp | Merida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Botic van de Zandschulp | Daniel Merida | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 20/22 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 3 or more | 77% | 17/22 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 5 or more | 55% | 12/22 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 6/22 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 14% | 3/22 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zandschulp | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–8 | 3–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.22 | 1.98 |
| ROI % | +24.8% | +10.6% |
| Units P/L | +5.70u | +0.53u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zandschulp | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 6 | 1 |
| Distance | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Zandschulp has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Merida's 30%).
| Opponent | Zandschulp | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Michelsen | W 64 64 | L 67 46 36 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | L 46 57 | L 46 62 36 |
| Jan Choinski | W 63 61 76 | W 63 75 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 63 76 | L 63 36 57 26 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 46 | W 63 63 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 63 67 64 60 | L 36 75 26 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 64 76 | L 46 26 |
| Ethan Quinn | L 36 67 | L 36 16 |
| Francesco Maestrelli | W 63 62 | W 75 64 |
| Mariano Navone | L 75 67 57 | L 26 64 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alex Michelsen
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jie Cui
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Valentin Royer
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Johan Alexander Rodriguez
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NED-COL 4-0 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 10
Botic van de Zandschulp
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Alejandro Tabilo
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Andrey Rublev
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Marton Fucsovics
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Marin Cilic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Ugo Humbert
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–65 matches
| Metric | Zandschulp | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 61% |
| Sets won | 55% | 58% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zandschulp | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zandschulp | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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