Head-to-Head

Ben Shelton vs Pablo Carreno BustaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇺🇸Ben Shelton

#4 · 23 yrs · L

2–0

2 meetings · sets 6–1

🇪🇸Pablo Carreno Busta

#65 · 35 yrs · R

Ben Shelton and Pablo Carreno Busta have met 2 times since 2025; Ben Shelton leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Shelton leads 2–0. Shelton has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Shelton has taken 6 sets to Busta's 1. Their most recent meeting: Ben Shelton won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

Indicator	Shelton	Carreno Busta
Indicator	Ben Shelton		Pablo Carreno Busta
Wins in straight sets	50%	16/32	53%	18/34
Wins a set when losing	56%	10/18	44%	8/18
Goes to a deciding set	52%	26/50	46%	24/52
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite	35%	14/40	48%	14/29
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog	70%	7/10	59%	13/22
Tiebreak sets won	56%	22/39	67%	10/15
Wins after taking set 1	77%	23/30	89%	24/27
Wins 2-0 after taking set 1	53%	16/30	67%	18/27

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Shelton

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve

Busta

🏹 Frontrunner

Fast startsAggressive openersMomentum-drivenStrong holds

Matchup analysis

The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 1,115 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ben Shelton.

Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.

Previous meetings

2 career meetings, newest first

Aug 27, 2025

U.S. Open - New York

H Hard · 2nd Round

Shelton

Jan 16, 2025

Australian Open - Melbourne

H Hard · 2nd Round

6⁴7

Shelton

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

Outcome	Shelton	Busta
Outcome	Ben Shelton		Pablo Carreno Busta
1 or more	100%	19/19	92%	12/13
3 or more	95%	18/19	54%	7/13
5 or more	84%	16/19	23%	3/13
10 or more	26%	5/19	0%	0/13
15 or more	5%	1/19	0%	0/13
20 or more	5%	1/19	0%	0/13

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

Metric	Shelton	Busta
W-L	15–6	6–7
Avg odds	1.54	2.41
ROI %	+9.9%	-16.8%
Units P/L	+2.08u	-2.18u

Travel

Last 30 days

Metric	Shelton	Busta
Countries	2	1
Events	2	2
Matches	3	6
Distance	7,368 mi · 11,858 km	663 mi · 1,067 km
Route	USA → CHN	CHN

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Across 10 shared opponents, both Shelton and Busta posted a 50% win rate.

Opponent	Shelton	Busta
Felix Auger-Aliassime	L 64 67 57	L 36 64 16
Alejandro Tabilo	L 64 57 46	W 46 76 64
Adrian Mannarino	W 76 67 63	W 63 64
Jakub Mensik	L 75 46 36	L 57 64 62 67 36
Jiri Lehecka	L 46 46	L 16 67 64 26
Denis Shapovalov	W 76 67 63 64	W 63 76
Tallon Griekspoor	W 16 61 76 62	L 46 46
Andrey Rublev	W 76 63	L 67 16
Martin Damm	W 64 46 64	W 63 63
Thiago Agustin Tirante	L 76 36 46	W 76 75 36 64

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Shelton

LWLLLWWW

Arthur Gea

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round

6⁵7

6³7

Oct 11

Daniel Altmaier

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

76⁶

Oct 9

Jakub Mensik

Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CZE-USA · Rubber 4

Sep 19

Jiri Lehecka

Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CZE-USA · Rubber 2

Sep 18

Alexander Zverev

U.S. Open - New York · Final

6²7

Sep 13

Frances Tiafoe

U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals

Sep 11

Carlos Alcaraz

U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals

6⁵7

Sep 9

Stefanos Tsitsipas

U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round

Sep 7

Busta

LWWLWWLL

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round

Oct 12

Alejandro Tabilo

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

76²

Oct 10

Mariano Navone

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round

Oct 8

Daniil Medvedev

China Open - Beijing · 1st Round

Oct 2

Adrian Mannarino

China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying

Sep 29

Yi Zhou

China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying

Sep 28

Jiri Lehecka

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

6⁵7

Aug 30

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round

Aug 24

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ SheltonShelton ahead↓ Busta

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–65 matches

Metric	Shelton	Busta
Matches won	66%	62%
Sets won	61%	58%
Games won	53%	52%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

Stage	Shelton	Busta
Grand Slam	2	0

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

Surface	Shelton	Busta
Hard	2	0

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Ben Shelton vs Pablo Carreno Busta FAQ

Ben Shelton leads the head-to-head 2–0 over 2 meetings.

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Style Matchup

Previous meetings

Prop Research

Player ROI

Travel

Common opponents

Recent Form

Rivalry momentum

Win rate

Record by tier

By surface

More Shelton rivalries

More Busta rivalries

Ben Shelton vs Pablo Carreno Busta FAQ

Who leads the Ben Shelton vs Pablo Carreno Busta head-to-head?

Who won the last Ben Shelton vs Pablo Carreno Busta match?

How many times have Ben Shelton and Pablo Carreno Busta played?

Who leads the Ben Shelton vs Pablo Carreno Busta head-to-head on hard courts?

When did Ben Shelton and Pablo Carreno Busta last play each other?