Belinda Bencic vs Jelena OstapenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇭Belinda Bencic
#12 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 5–2
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#34 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Belinda Bencic and Jelena Ostapenko have met 3 times since 2018; Belinda Bencic leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Indian Wells in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Bencic leads 2–1. Bencic has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Bencic has taken 5 sets to Ostapenko's 2. Their most recent meeting: Belinda Bencic won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bencic | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Belinda Bencic | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 26/36 | 71% | 17/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 77% | 10/13 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 20/49 | 40% | 17/42 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 23/40 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 89% | 8/9 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 31/37 | 69% | 18/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 26/37 | 65% | 17/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bencic 2, Ostapenko 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bencic
👑 The Complete Package
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 13, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 23, 2020
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 7, 2018
Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bencic | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Belinda Bencic | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bencic | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–2 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.34 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | -9.2% | -34.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.55u | -2.04u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bencic | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 592 mi · 952 km |
| Route | ROU | POR → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bencic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Ostapenko's 60%).
| Opponent | Bencic | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Elise Mertens | W 62 63 | L 26 63 36 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 61 76 | W 64 61 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 64 60 | W 64 75 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 64 46 76 | W 61 62 |
| Xi Yao Wang | W 75 60 | L 64 46 46 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 63 62 | W 63 60 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 16 76 36 | L 36 46 |
| Sara Bejlek | W 76 62 | L 46 36 |
| Dayana Yastremska | W 62 67 63 | W 64 64 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 64 63 | W 57 62 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ann Li
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Anastasia Zakharova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Yulia Putintseva
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Lois Boisson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Alexandra Eala
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Taylor Townsend
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Sloane Stephens
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Coco Gauff
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Taylah Preston
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–49 matches
| Metric | Bencic | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 73% | 57% |
| Sets won | 69% | 57% |
| Games won | 57% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bencic | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bencic | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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