Belinda Bencic vs Jelena OstapenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐จ๐ญBelinda Bencic
#12 ยท 29 yrs ยท Right-Handed
3 meetings ยท sets 5โ2

๐ฑ๐ปJelena Ostapenko
#31 ยท 29 yrs ยท Right-Handed
Belinda Bencic and Jelena Ostapenko have met 3 times since 2018; Belinda Bencic leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at Indian Wells in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Bencic leads 2โ1. Bencic has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Bencic has taken 5 sets to Ostapenko's 2. Their most recent meeting: Belinda Bencic won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bencic | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Belinda Bencic | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 27/38 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 77% | 10/13 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 21/51 | 41% | 16/39 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 23/39 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 82% | 9/11 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 7/14 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 32/38 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 27/38 | 65% | 15/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bencic 2, Ostapenko 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bencic
๐ The Complete Package
Ostapenko
๐ The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
Both Belinda Bencic and Jelena Ostapenko are ๐ The Complete Package types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 3,166 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 13, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Jan 23, 2020
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Mar 7, 2018
Indian Wells
H Hard ยท Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bencic | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Belinda Bencic | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 5 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Bencic | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5โ1 | 5โ2 |
| Avg odds | 1.42 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | +11.2% | -7.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.67u | -0.54u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bencic | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | 0 mi ยท 0 km |
| Route | CAN | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Bencic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Ostapenko's 50%).
| Opponent | Bencic | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Eala | W 64 60 | W 64 75 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 64 46 76 | W 61 62 |
| Xi Yao Wang | W 75 60 | L 64 46 46 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 63 62 | W 63 60 |
| Magda Linette | W 63 62 | L 26 62 26 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 16 76 36 | L 36 46 |
| Sara Bejlek | W 76 62 | L 46 36 |
| Dayana Yastremska | W 62 67 63 | W 64 64 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 64 63 | W 57 62 75 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 36 67 | L 64 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexandra Eala
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 4th Round
Aug 10
Taylor Townsend
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 8
Sloane Stephens
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Coco Gauff
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 5
Anna Kalinskaya
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Xi Yao Wang
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mika Stojsavljevic
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Elina Svitolina
French Open - Paris ยท 4th Round
May 31
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Antonia Ruzic
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Harriet Dart
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Zeynep Sonmez
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Panna Udvardy
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 2nd Round
Jun 24
Francesca Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 1st Round
Jun 22
Magda Linette
French Open - Paris ยท 2nd Round
May 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 39โ51 matches
| Metric | Bencic | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 56% |
| Sets won | 70% | 56% |
| Games won | 58% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bencic | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bencic | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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