Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Heather WatsonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇷Beatriz Haddad Maia
#428 · 30 yrs · Left-Handed
15w3 meetings · sets 4–3
🇬🇧Heather Watson
#388 · 34 yrs · Right-Handed
7w3Beatriz Haddad Maia and Heather Watson have met 3 times since 2018; Beatriz Haddad Maia leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Acapulco in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Maia leads 2–0. Across all meetings Maia has taken 4 sets to Watson's 3. Their most recent meeting: Heather Watson won at The HSBC Championships - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Haddad Maia | Watson | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Beatriz Haddad Maia | Heather Watson | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 3/4 | 64% | 9/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 6/23 | 38% | 10/26 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 25% | 2/8 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 7/15 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 4/7 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 50% | 3/6 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 3/6 | 60% | 9/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Haddad Maia 1, Watson 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Maia
💥 Big Hitter
Watson
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Beatriz Haddad Maia and Heather Watson are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 7, 2026
The HSBC Championships - London
G Grass · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 20, 2018
Miami
H Hard · Round of 128
Feb 28, 2018
Acapulco
H Hard · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Maia | Watson |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 3–3 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.42 |
| ROI % | - | +20.0% |
| Units P/L | - | +1.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Watson has a higher win rate against shared opponents (25% vs Maia's 0%).
| Opponent | Maia | Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Maria Timofeeva | L 36 26 | L 63 26 16 |
| Shuai Zhang | L 46 26 | L 36 46 |
| Diane Parry | L 36 26 | W 64 64 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | L 16 16 | L 36 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Maria Timofeeva
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Sachia Vickery
Ladies Open - Figueira da Foz · 1st Round
Jun 15
Heather Watson
The HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Francesca Jones
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 24
Shuai Zhang
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg · 1st Round Qualifying
May 16
Diane Parry
Trophee Clarins - Paris · 1st Round
May 12
Leolia Jeanjean
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 1st Round
May 6
Marina Bassols Ribera
Catalonia Open Solgirones - La Bisbal D'Emporda · Quarterfinals
May 1
Harriet Dart
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Angela Fita Boluda
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Claire Liu
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Anna Blinkova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Julieta Pareja
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 26
Kamilla Rakhimova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 25
Maria Timofeeva
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 25
Tatiana Prozorova
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 23–26 matches
| Metric | Maia | Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 17% | 54% |
| Sets won | 25% | 53% |
| Games won | 41% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Maia | Watson |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Maia | Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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