Head-to-Head

Aziz Dougaz vs Lorenzo SonegoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇹🇳Aziz Dougaz

#423 · 29 yrs · L

TitleWon M15 Monastir

0–0

First meeting

🇮🇹Lorenzo Sonego

#83 · 31 yrs · R

Upcoming match

Tournament: Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
Level: ATP Masters 1000
Round: 1st Round Qualifying
Surface: Hard
Date & time: October 5 · 12:00 AM ET

Book odds

Lorenzo Sonego1.231.24

Aziz Dougaz4.083.96

Set spread

Sonego -1.51.65

Dougaz +1.52.11

Game spread

Sonego -41.82

Dougaz +41.87

SonegoHard-court specialist (61%)DougazHard-court specialist (78%)

Record at prices like this

Lorenzo Sonego1.24implies 81%won 81%level

At 1.24 or shorter, Lorenzo Sonego has won 22 of 27 (81%). That is level with the 81% the price implied.

Aziz Dougaz3.96implies 19%won 5%−14 pts

At 3.96 or longer, Aziz Dougaz has won 2 of 37 (5%). The price implied 19%, so Aziz Dougaz has fallen 14 points short of it.

Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.

Aziz Dougaz and Lorenzo Sonego meet next at the Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai on October 5 on hard.

Share this matchup

Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

Indicator	Dougaz	Sonego
Indicator	Aziz Dougaz		Lorenzo Sonego
Wins in straight sets	67%	22/33	63%	10/16
Wins a set when losing	36%	5/14	35%	7/20
Goes to a deciding set	34%	16/47	36%	13/36
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite	54%	19/35	47%	8/17
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog	60%	6/10	47%	9/19
Tiebreak sets won	21%	3/14	53%	8/15
Wins after taking set 1	93%	28/30	68%	13/19
Wins 2-0 after taking set 1	73%	22/30	53%	10/19

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Dougaz

👑 The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer

Sonego

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve

Matchup analysis

👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,469 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

First career meeting

Dougaz and Sonego have never faced each other on tour.

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

Outcome	Dougaz	Sonego
Outcome	Aziz Dougaz		Lorenzo Sonego
1 or more	100%	21/21	100%	13/13
3 or more	95%	20/21	100%	13/13
5 or more	91%	19/21	92%	12/13
10 or more	24%	5/21	31%	4/13
15 or more	0%	0/21	8%	1/13
20 or more	0%	0/21	0%	0/13

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

Metric	Dougaz	Sonego
W-L	19–5	5–8
Avg odds	1.43	2.59
ROI %	+2.7%	-35.9%
Units P/L	+0.65u	-4.67u

Travel

Last 30 days

Metric	Dougaz	Sonego
Countries	2	3
Events	2	4
Matches	2	4
Distance	—	8,181 mi · 13,166 km
Route	TUN → CHN	ITA → CHN → JPN → CHN

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Sonego has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Dougaz's 0%).

Opponent	Dougaz	Sonego
Joel Schwaerzler	L 67 63 67	W 64 76
Raphael Collignon	L 46 26	L 67 67
Rei Sakamoto	L 46 46	W 62 76

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Dougaz

LWWWWWLW

Reiya Komagata

M25 Yinchuan · 1st Round

6³7

Sep 23

Cesar Bouchelaghem

M15 Monastir · Final

Sep 6

Jorge Plans

M15 Monastir · Semifinals

Sep 5

Nicolas Jadoun

M15 Monastir · Quarterfinals

76⁴

Sep 4

Edison Ambarzumjan

M15 Monastir · 2nd Round

Sep 3

Daniele Augenti

M15 Monastir · 1st Round

Sep 2

Andrea Guerrieri

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying

Aug 27

Kyrian Jacquet

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying

Aug 26

Sonego

LLWLLLWW

Kamil Majchrzak

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying

Sep 28

Jenson Brooksby

Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round

Sep 25

James Duckworth

Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round

Sep 24

Francesco Passaro

Genoa Challenger · 1st Round

Sep 8

Alexander Zverev

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

76⁷

Sep 2

James Duckworth

Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round

Aug 27

Adrian Mannarino

Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round

76⁵

Aug 26

Pierre-Hugues Herbert

Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round

76⁴

Aug 24

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–47 matches

Metric	Dougaz	Sonego
Matches won	70%	45%
Sets won	65%	46%
Games won	56%	49%