Ashlyn Krueger vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Ashlyn Krueger
#68 · 22 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 3–3
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#58 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Ashlyn Krueger and Paula Badosa have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha in 2024 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Krueger has taken 3 sets to Badosa's 3. Their most recent meeting: Ashlyn Krueger won at Adelaide International - Adelaide (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Krueger | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ashlyn Krueger | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 20/31 | 74% | 20/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 6/21 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 17/52 | 31% | 14/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 17/37 | 51% | 19/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 7/15 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 25/29 | 88% | 21/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 20/29 | 83% | 20/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Krueger 0, Badosa 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Krueger
💥 Big Hitter
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Ashlyn Krueger and Paula Badosa are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 8, 2025
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 12, 2024
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Krueger | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ashlyn Krueger | Paula Badosa | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 5 or more | 44% | 4/9 | 21% | 3/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Krueger | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 10–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 1.72 |
| ROI % | -36.1% | -3.7% |
| Units P/L | -3.25u | -0.52u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Krueger | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | 654 mi · 1,053 km | 10,936 mi · 17,599 km |
| Route | ROU → CZE | BRA → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 6 shared opponents, both Krueger and Badosa posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Krueger | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Yulia Putintseva | L 16 36 | W 61 62 |
| Mary Stoiana | W 67 63 61 | W 64 62 |
| Julia Grabher | L 46 46 | L 67 64 06 |
| Daria Snigur | W 63 62 | L 16 67 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 26 63 64 | W 63 64 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 46 26 | L |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yulia Putintseva
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Taylah Preston
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Ann Li
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Sofia Kenin
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Amanda Anisimova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Julia Grabher
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Anna Frey
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 1st Round
Aug 23
Lois Boisson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Daria Kasatkina
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Nadia Podoroska
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Semifinals
Sep 19
Mary Stoiana
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Jazmin Ortenzi
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Justina Mikulskyte
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Daria Kasatkina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–52 matches
| Metric | Krueger | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 60% |
| Sets won | 56% | 59% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Krueger | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Krueger | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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