Arthur Rinderknech vs Yosuke WatanukiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Arthur Rinderknech and Yosuke Watanuki have met 3 times since 2020; Yosuke Watanuki leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Cleveland Challenger in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Watanuki leads 2–1. Across all meetings Rinderknech has taken 2 sets to Watanuki's 5. Their most recent meeting: Yosuke Watanuki won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rinderknech | Watanuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Arthur Rinderknech | Yosuke Watanuki | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 13/22 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 57% | 13/23 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 22/45 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 32% | 6/19 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 83% | 19/23 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 12/31 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 15/21 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 13/21 | 60% | 9/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rinderknech 1, Watanuki 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rinderknech
🤖 Servebot
Watanuki
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 16, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 21, 2020
Drummondville Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 12, 2020
Cleveland Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rinderknech | Watanuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Arthur Rinderknech | Yosuke Watanuki | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 10 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 15 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 20 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rinderknech | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–7 | 4–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.31 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | -37.5% | -19.8% |
| Units P/L | -4.13u | -1.58u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rinderknech | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 8
Miomir Kecmanovic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Sebastian Baez
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Stefanos Tsitsipas
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Clement Tabur
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Hayato Matsuoka
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Toby Samuel
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Andre Ilagan
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
August Holmgren
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Jack Kennedy
Cary Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 3
Tung-Lin Wu
Cary Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Andre Ilagan
Cary Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 29
Vitaliy Sachko
Bratislava Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 25–52 matches
| Metric | Rinderknech | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 52% |
| Sets won | 50% | 53% |
| Games won | 50% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rinderknech | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rinderknech | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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