Arthur Rinderknech vs Luca NardiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Arthur Rinderknech and Luca Nardi have met 2 times since 2023; Arthur Rinderknech leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Open Sud de France - Montpellier in 2023 on hard. Rinderknech has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Rinderknech has taken 4 sets to Nardi's 0. Their most recent meeting: Arthur Rinderknech won at ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rinderknech | Nardi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Arthur Rinderknech | Luca Nardi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 8/14 | 76% | 13/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 12/22 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 50% | 18/36 | 46% | 17/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 5/16 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 76% | 13/17 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 37% | 11/30 | 36% | 8/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 53% | 8/15 | 65% | 13/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rinderknech 2, Nardi 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rinderknech
🤖 Servebot
Nardi
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 1,115 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Arthur Rinderknech.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Apr 5, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 7, 2023
Open Sud de France - Montpellier
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rinderknech | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.14 | 2.58 |
| ROI % | -51.2% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -5.12u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rinderknech has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Nardi's 67%).
| Opponent | Rinderknech | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | W 75 64 | W 63 63 |
| Martin Damm | W 64 76 63 | L 36 67 |
| Flavio Cobolli | W 67 76 75 | W 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Liam Draxl
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Jaume Munar
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sho Shimabukuro
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 8
Frances Tiafoe
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Federico Cina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Andrea Guerrieri
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 11
Otto Virtanen
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Rio Noguchi
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Remy Bertola
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 15
Giles Hussey
Lexus Nottingham Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Oscar Weightman
Lexus Nottingham Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 38–45 matches
| Metric | Rinderknech | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 42% | 45% |
| Sets won | 47% | 51% |
| Games won | 50% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rinderknech | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rinderknech | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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