Arthur Gea vs Ugo HumbertPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
- Level
- ATP Masters 1000
- Round
- 2nd Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 9 · 12:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.80 or shorter, Arthur Gea has won 28 of 45 (62%). That is level with the 60% the price implied.
At 2.00 or longer, Ugo Humbert has won 34 of 87 (39%). That is level with the 40% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Arthur Gea and Ugo Humbert meet next at the Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai on October 9 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gea | Humbert | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Arthur Gea | Ugo Humbert | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 33/48 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 25/66 | 33% | 17/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 27/48 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 77% | 10/13 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 17/27 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 40/43 | 85% | 28/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 33/43 | 70% | 23/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gea
👑 The Complete Package
Humbert
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,462 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ugo Humbert.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Gea and Humbert have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Gea | Humbert | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Arthur Gea | Ugo Humbert | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 22/22 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 18/22 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 5 or more | 64% | 14/22 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 3/22 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 9% | 2/22 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gea | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–4 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.76 | 2.06 |
| ROI % | +39.9% | -33.2% |
| Units P/L | +8.37u | -1.99u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gea | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 2 |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 8 shared opponents, both Gea and Humbert posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Gea | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Jiri Lehecka | W 75 76 75 | L 75 46 46 |
| Tomas Machac | W 63 64 | L 46 76 26 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 63 76 67 67 46 | W 63 64 |
| Michael Zheng | W 76 36 46 63 62 | L 46 36 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 67 64 60 | L 46 36 |
| Adrian Mannarino | L 75 46 46 | W 63 64 63 |
| Karen Khachanov | L 36 67 06 | W 63 36 76 |
| Vit Kopriva | L 26 26 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jaime Faria
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Zhizhen Zhang
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Tomas Machac
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Rigele Te
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Botic van de Zandschulp
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Michael Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Zachary Svajda
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Brandon Nakashima
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Ben Shelton
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 31
Andres Martin
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Zizou Bergs
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–74 matches
| Metric | Gea | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 56% |
| Sets won | 65% | 56% |
| Games won | 55% | 52% |