Arthur Gea vs Tomas MachacPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Arthur Gea and Tomas Machac have met 2 times since 2026; Arthur Gea leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Open Occitanie - Montpellier in 2026 on hard. On hard courts Gea leads 2–0. Gea has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Gea has taken 2 sets to Machac's 0. Their most recent meeting: Arthur Gea won at China Open - Beijing (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gea | Machac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Arthur Gea | Tomas Machac | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 28/44 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 26/62 | 48% | 13/27 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 22/44 | 21% | 3/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 79% | 11/14 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 66% | 19/29 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 36/39 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 28/39 | 63% | 5/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gea 1, Machac 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gea
👑 The Complete Package
Machac
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tomas Machac.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 29, 2026
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Feb 4, 2026
Open Occitanie - Montpellier
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Gea | Machac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Arthur Gea | Tomas Machac | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 22/22 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 18/22 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 59% | 13/22 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 10 or more | 9% | 2/22 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 15 or more | 5% | 1/22 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gea | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–4 | 2–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 1.95 |
| ROI % | +52.5% | -56.4% |
| Units P/L | +11.03u | -4.51u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gea | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 5 |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Gea has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Machac's 75%).
| Opponent | Gea | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Ugo Humbert | W 64 36 61 | W 64 67 62 |
| Zhizhen Zhang | W 64 63 | W 16 76 62 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 67 64 60 | W 76 63 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 75 76 75 | L 46 76 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ben Shelton
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Ugo Humbert
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jaime Faria
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Zhizhen Zhang
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Tomas Machac
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Rigele Te
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Botic van de Zandschulp
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Zhizhen Zhang
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Alex Molcan
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Arthur Gea
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yannick Hanfmann
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Toby Samuel
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 33–70 matches
| Metric | Gea | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 48% |
| Sets won | 63% | 48% |
| Games won | 54% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Gea | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Gea | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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