Arthur Gea vs Jakub MensikPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
- Level
- ATP Masters 1000
- Round
- 4th Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 13 · 1:30 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 2.54 or longer, Arthur Gea has won 11 of 30 (37%). The price implied 32%, so Arthur Gea has beaten it by 5 points.
At 1.52 or shorter, Jakub Mensik has won 56 of 79 (71%). That is level with the 69% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Arthur Gea meets Jakub Mensik in the 4th Round of the Shanghai Rolex Masters on October 13 on hard court. Gea, ranked 56th, has advanced through the draw with momentum, while Mensik, seeded 15th, continues his run in the tournament. The two have never played.
Gea has won eight of his last ten matches and rides a three-match streak into this round. Mensik has taken four of his last ten, though he has won his last two. On hard court over a recent sample, Gea holds a 16-4 record at 80%, while Mensik stands at 12-8 at 60%. Both players faced common opponents recently with mixed results; Gea defeated Ben Shelton while losing to Khachanov and Hurkacz, whereas Mensik beat Khachanov, Hurkacz, and van de Zandschulp but fell to neither of Gea's conquerors.
Gea is a complete player who constructs points from the baseline and adjusts through the court. Mensik relies heavily on his serve and short points off the ground. Gea's consistency on hard courts will test Mensik's ability to finish rallies quickly, while Mensik's serving will demand that Gea generate returns and break opportunities.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gea | Mensik | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Arthur Gea | Jakub Mensik | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 29/45 | 59% | 16/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 26/63 | 47% | 20/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 23/45 | 41% | 15/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 79% | 11/14 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 66% | 19/29 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 37/40 | 92% | 24/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 29/40 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gea
👑 The Complete Package
Mensik
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Gea and Mensik have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Gea | Mensik | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Arthur Gea | Jakub Mensik | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 23/23 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 19/23 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 5 or more | 61% | 14/23 | 77% | 13/17 |
| 10 or more | 9% | 2/23 | 59% | 10/17 |
| 15 or more | 4% | 1/23 | 24% | 4/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 6% | 1/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gea | Mensik |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 18–4 | 12–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.85 | 1.53 |
| ROI % | +50.9% | -10.8% |
| Units P/L | +11.19u | -2.05u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gea | Mensik |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 5 |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km |
| Route | CHN | GBR → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mensik has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Gea's 50%).
| Opponent | Gea | Mensik |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Shelton | W 76 76 | W 57 64 63 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 67 64 60 | W 63 36 62 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 67 76 26 | W 64 76 |
| Zhizhen Zhang | W 64 63 | W 63 62 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 63 76 67 67 46 | W 64 75 |
| Jurij Rodionov | W 63 46 75 | W 63 36 62 63 |
| Adam Walton | L 46 46 | W 36 62 64 |
| Adrian Mannarino | L 75 46 46 | L 75 67 67 |
| Karen Khachanov | L 36 67 06 | W 64 76 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ben Shelton
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Ugo Humbert
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jaime Faria
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Zhizhen Zhang
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Tomas Machac
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Rigele Te
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Botic van de Zandschulp
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Francisco Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Miomir Kecmanovic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alexander Bublik
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Brandon Nakashima
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Ben Shelton
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CZE-USA · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Learner Tien
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CZE-USA · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Learner Tien
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–71 matches
| Metric | Gea | Mensik |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 67% |
| Sets won | 63% | 62% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |