Arthur Gea vs Denis ShapovalovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Arthur Gea and Denis Shapovalov have met 1 time since 2026; Arthur Gea leads 1–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Gea leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Gea has taken 2 sets to Shapovalov's 0. Their most recent meeting: Arthur Gea won at Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gea | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Arthur Gea | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 28/41 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 8/18 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 21/59 | 42% | 15/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 22/42 | 30% | 7/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 15/24 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 34/36 | 83% | 15/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 28/36 | 44% | 8/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gea 1, Shapovalov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gea
💥 Big Hitter
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Arthur Gea and Denis Shapovalov are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 1, 2026
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Gea | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Arthur Gea | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 5 or more | 41% | 7/17 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 10 or more | 18% | 3/17 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gea | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–5 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.85 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | +32.5% | -7.8% |
| Units P/L | +6.17u | -0.86u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gea | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,847 mi · 2,972 km |
| Route | MEX | MEX → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shapovalov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Gea's 50%).
| Opponent | Gea | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Adrian Mannarino | L 75 46 46 | W 61 64 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | L 26 67 | W 64 64 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 75 76 75 | L 46 46 |
| Leo Deflandre | W 61 62 | W 63 76 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Denis Shapovalov
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Final
Aug 1
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Francisco Cerundolo
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Michael Zheng
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Soon Woo Kwon
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Aleksandar Vukic
Granby Challenger · Final
Jul 19
Murphy Cassone
Granby Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 18
Liam Draxl
Granby Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Adrian Mannarino
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Final
Aug 1
Cameron Norrie
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Dalibor Svrcina
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rinky Hijikata
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Pablo Carreno Busta
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 38–63 matches
| Metric | Gea | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 47% |
| Sets won | 63% | 44% |
| Games won | 55% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Gea | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Gea | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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