Arthur Fery vs Karen KhachanovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
- Level
- ATP Masters 1000
- Round
- 2nd Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 9 · 4:15 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.39 or shorter, Karen Khachanov has won 106 of 132 (80%). The price implied 76%, so Karen Khachanov has beaten it by 4 points.
At 3.06 or longer, Arthur Fery has won 4 of 15 (27%). That is level with the 25% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Arthur Fery meets Karen Khachanov in the second round of the Shanghai Rolex Masters on October 9 on hard court. Fery, ranked 37th, advanced through the first round, while Khachanov sits at 27th in the standings.
The two have never played. Fery has won two matches in his last five days and holds a 6-4 record over his last ten outings. Khachanov has been sharper recently with an 8-2 mark over ten matches, though he lost his most recent encounter and played three times in the past fourteen days to Fery's two.
Fery plays his best tennis when ahead in a match and can sustain pressure from the baseline, posting a 65% win rate on hard courts in recent play. Khachanov builds points through his serve and relies on it to dominate rallies; his hard court record stands at 55%. For Fery to control tempo, he will need to break serve and establish rhythm early. Khachanov must use his first serve to hold games and shorten points before Fery settles into baseline exchanges.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fery | Khachanov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Arthur Fery | Karen Khachanov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 49% | 18/37 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 47% | 26/55 | 48% | 16/33 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 13/36 | 19% | 5/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 12/16 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 5/15 | 19% | 3/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 96% | 27/28 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 18/28 | 47% | 7/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fery
🏹 Frontrunner
Khachanov
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 1,063 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Karen Khachanov.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Fery and Khachanov have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fery | Khachanov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Arthur Fery | Karen Khachanov | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 5 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 23% | 3/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fery | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–4 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.08 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | -10.2% | +8.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.02u | +0.93u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fery | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km | 7,491 mi · 12,056 km |
| Route | JPN → CHN | USA → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fery has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Khachanov's 38%).
| Opponent | Fery | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | L 67 26 46 | L 36 67 67 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | W 62 46 75 | W 63 60 61 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 36 75 63 | L 75 36 67 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 57 67 | L 26 26 |
| Bernard Tomic | W 64 62 | L 26 46 |
| Flavio Cobolli | W 64 76 60 | L 60 67 76 26 26 |
| Hugo Gaston | L 67 57 | W 36 63 76 |
| Dino Prizmic | W 64 61 | W 61 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Marin Cilic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Jaime Faria
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alvaro Guillen Meza
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, GBR-ECU · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Lorenzo Musetti
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Semifinals
Aug 29
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Final
Aug 29
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alex Molcan
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Felix Auger-Aliassime
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Alexander Blockx
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 10
Alexander Blockx
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Learner Tien
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 8
Benjamin Bonzi
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–64 matches
| Metric | Fery | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 51% |
| Sets won | 59% | 53% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |