Ann Li vs Varvara GrachevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Ann Li
#30 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 6–1
🇫🇷Varvara Gracheva
#148 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
24wAnn Li and Varvara Gracheva have met 3 times since 2021; Ann Li leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Tenerife Ladies Open - Tenerife in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Li leads 3–0. Li has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Li has taken 6 sets to Gracheva's 1. Their most recent meeting: Ann Li won at Japan Open - Osaka (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Li | Gracheva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ann Li | Varvara Gracheva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 16/27 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 13/29 | 20% | 2/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 43% | 24/56 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 34% | 11/32 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 11/18 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 8/18 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 20/22 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 16/22 | 20% | 1/5 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Li 2, Gracheva 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Li
🤖 Servebot
Gracheva
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 14, 2025
Japan Open - Osaka
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 31, 2022
Dow Tennis Classic - Midland
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 20, 2021
Tenerife Ladies Open - Tenerife
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Li | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.38 | - |
| ROI % | -22.5% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.93u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Li | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 7 | — |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Gracheva has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Li's 0%).
| Opponent | Li | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | L 26 57 | L 57 26 |
| Viktorija Golubic | L 36 62 36 | W 61 26 61 |
| Magda Linette | L 36 36 | L 62 26 06 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 16 26 | L 46 06 |
| Rebecca Sramkova | L 26 63 36 | W 75 16 64 |
| Linda Noskova | L 36 75 46 | W 62 26 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Semifinals
Aug 29
Alycia Parks
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Shuai Zhang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Kayla Cross
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Magdalena Frech
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Magda Linette
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 17
Lilli Tagger
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Jessica Pegula
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 2nd Round
Feb 17
Rebecca Sramkova
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round
Feb 16
Maria Sakkari
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 3rd Round
Feb 11
Linda Noskova
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 2nd Round
Feb 10
Laura Siegemund
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 1st Round
Feb 8
Elena Rybakina
Australian Open - Melbourne · 2nd Round
Jan 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 16–56 matches
| Metric | Li | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 38% |
| Sets won | 49% | 36% |
| Games won | 50% | 43% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Li | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 125 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Li | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
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