Ann Li vs Varvara GrachevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Ann Li
#31 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 6–1
🇫🇷Varvara Gracheva
#172 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
30wAnn Li and Varvara Gracheva have met 3 times since 2021; Ann Li leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Tenerife Ladies Open - Tenerife in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Li leads 3–0. Li has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Li has taken 6 sets to Gracheva's 1. Their most recent meeting: Ann Li won at Japan Open - Osaka (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Li | Gracheva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ann Li | Varvara Gracheva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 19/31 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 12/27 | 22% | 2/9 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 24/58 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 14/36 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 13/19 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 8/17 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 23/25 | 89% | 8/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 44% | 4/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Li 2, Gracheva 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Li
🤖 Servebot
Gracheva
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 14, 2025
Japan Open - Osaka
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 31, 2022
Dow Tennis Classic - Midland
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 20, 2021
Tenerife Ladies Open - Tenerife
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Li | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.53 | - |
| ROI % | -1.7% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.24u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Li | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Gracheva has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Li's 11%).
| Opponent | Li | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Elina Svitolina | L 26 36 | L 36 16 |
| Belinda Bencic | W 64 63 | L 46 36 |
| Linda Noskova | L 26 76 26 | W 62 26 75 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 26 57 | L 57 26 |
| Magdalena Frech | L 46 36 | W 64 46 75 |
| Viktorija Golubic | L 36 62 36 | W 61 26 61 |
| Magda Linette | L 36 36 | L 62 26 06 |
| Rebecca Sramkova | L 26 63 36 | W 75 16 64 |
| Elisabetta Cocciaretto | L 67 75 46 | W 62 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elina Svitolina
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Belinda Bencic
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Ashlyn Krueger
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Donna Vekic
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Antonia Ruzic
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Semifinals
Aug 29
Alycia Parks
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Magda Linette
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 17
Lilli Tagger
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Jessica Pegula
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 2nd Round
Feb 17
Rebecca Sramkova
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round
Feb 16
Magdalena Frech
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Feb 14
Priscilla Hon
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 13
Maria Sakkari
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 3rd Round
Feb 11
Linda Noskova
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 2nd Round
Feb 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–58 matches
| Metric | Li | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 53% |
| Sets won | 53% | 48% |
| Games won | 51% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Li | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 125 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Li | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
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