Ann Li vs Sloane StephensPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈAnn Li
#30 Β· 25 yrs Β· Right-Handed
3 meetings Β· sets 4β3

πΊπΈSloane Stephens
#208 Β· 33 yrs Β· Right-Handed
4Ann Li and Sloane Stephens have met 3 times since 2023; Ann Li leads 2β1. Their first meeting came at Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Li leads 2β1. Li has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Li has taken 4 sets to Stephens's 3. Their most recent meeting: Ann Li won at Hobart International - Hobart (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Li | Stephens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ann Li | Sloane Stephens | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 16/27 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 13/29 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 43% | 24/56 | 28% | 7/25 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 34% | 11/32 | 20% | 1/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 11/18 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 8/18 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 20/22 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 16/22 | 56% | 5/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Li 1, Stephens 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Li
π€ Servebot
Stephens
βοΈ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The π€ Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs βοΈ Grinder across 440 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ann Li.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 7, 2025
Hobart International - Hobart
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Jan 1, 2025
Auckland
H Hard Β· Round of 32
Sep 17, 2023
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Li | Stephens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ann Li | Sloane Stephens | ||
| 1 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 3 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 5 or more | 54% | 7/13 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 10 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Li | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6β7 | 5β5 |
| Avg odds | 2.38 | 3.00 |
| ROI % | -22.5% | +8.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.93u | +0.83u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Li | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 4 |
| Events | 3 | 4 |
| Matches | 7 | 7 |
| Distance | 1,715 mi Β· 2,760 km | 1,730 mi Β· 2,784 km |
| Route | CAN β POL β AUT | ECU β CAN β POL β ESP |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Li has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Stephens's 0%).
| Opponent | Li | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | W 61 62 | L 46 16 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 06 76 36 | L 57 57 |
| Camila Osorio | W 64 67 75 | L 46 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· Semifinals
Aug 29
Alycia Parks
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· 1st Round
Aug 25
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Shuai Zhang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round
Aug 7
Kayla Cross
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 6
Magdalena Frech
Mubadala DC Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 29
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Philly Open - Philadelphia Β· 1st Round
Aug 25
Marta Kostyuk
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anastasia Potapova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 17
Sinja Kraus
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 15
Belinda Bencic
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Solana Sierra
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Darja Vidmanova
The Memphis Classic - Memphis Β· 2nd Round
Jul 31
Yuliia Starodubtseva
The Memphis Classic - Memphis Β· 1st Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 25β56 matches
| Metric | Li | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 28% |
| Sets won | 49% | 33% |
| Games won | 50% | 42% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Li | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Li | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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