Ann Li vs Belinda BencicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈAnn Li
#30 Β· 25 yrs Β· Right-Handed
1 meeting Β· sets 2β0

π¨πBelinda Bencic
#12 Β· 29 yrs Β· Right-Handed
Ann Li and Belinda Bencic have met 1 time since 2025; Ann Li leads 1β0. Across all meetings Li has taken 2 sets to Bencic's 0. Their most recent meeting: Ann Li won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- China Open - Beijing
- Level
- WTA 1000
- Round
- 3rd Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 5 Β· 3:35 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.47 or shorter, Belinda Bencic has won 124 of 153 (81%). The price implied 72%, so Belinda Bencic has beaten it by 9 points.
At 2.69 or longer, Ann Li has won 12 of 48 (25%). That is level with the 27% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Belinda Bencic and Ann Li meet in the 3rd Round of the China Open in Beijing on October 5, playing on hard court. Bencic holds the 12th ranking; Li sits at 30th. The two have met once before, with Li taking that encounter. Both players arrive off first-round wins, each with one match in the last 14 days.
Li leads the head-to-head series 1-0. Recent results against shared opponents show Bencic with three straight victories over Yastremska, Linette, and Sonmez, while Li has split her meetings with that group, beating Swiatek but losing to the other three. On hard courts over a broader sample, Bencic holds a 13-7 record; Li's recent hard-court work stands at 9-11.
Bencic constructs points across the court with reliable movement and technical precision. Li builds her game around serving strength and aggressive early positioning. Bencic's 65% hard-court win rate reflects consistency in extended rallies; Li's 45% reflects the volatility of a serve-dependent approach on the surface. Li will need to convert her first-serve opportunities into quick holds; Bencic will need to break rhythm in the return games.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Li | Bencic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ann Li | Belinda Bencic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 18/30 | 73% | 27/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 12/27 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 24/57 | 40% | 20/50 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 14/36 | 60% | 24/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 12/18 | 80% | 8/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 8/18 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 22/24 | 84% | 32/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 18/24 | 71% | 27/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Li 1, Bencic 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Li
π€ Servebot
Bencic
π The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The π The Complete Package archetype wins about 55% vs π€ Servebot across 2,144 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Belinda Bencic.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 27, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Li | Bencic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ann Li | Belinda Bencic | ||
| 1 or more | 79% | 11/14 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Li | Bencic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8β6 | 4β1 |
| Avg odds | 2.31 | 1.33 |
| ROI % | -11.3% | +9.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.58u | +0.45u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Li | Bencic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi Β· 0 km | 0 mi Β· 0 km |
| Route | ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Bencic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs Li's 44%).
| Opponent | Li | Bencic |
|---|---|---|
| Linda Noskova | L 26 76 26 | L 36 63 67 |
| Donna Vekic | W 57 76 64 | W 62 62 |
| Coco Gauff | L 16 67 | L 64 36 46 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 57 61 46 | W 63 62 |
| Marie Bouzkova | W 63 75 | W 63 67 64 |
| Iga Swiatek | W | W 36 60 63 |
| Dayana Yastremska | L 57 64 36 | W 62 67 63 |
| Magda Linette | L 36 36 | W 63 62 |
| Varvara Gracheva | W 64 60 | W 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ashlyn Krueger
China Open - Beijing Β· 2nd Round
Oct 3
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 4
Donna Vekic
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 3
Antonia Ruzic
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Sep 1
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· Semifinals
Aug 29
Alycia Parks
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· 1st Round
Aug 25
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anastasia Zakharova
China Open - Beijing Β· 2nd Round
Oct 3
Yulia Putintseva
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Sep 1
Lois Boisson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 15
Alexandra Eala
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 4th Round
Aug 10
Taylor Townsend
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round
Aug 8
Sloane Stephens
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Coco Gauff
Wimbledon - London Β· 4th Round
Jul 5
Anna Kalinskaya
Wimbledon - London Β· 3rd Round
Jul 3
Matchup videos
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 50β57 matches
| Metric | Li | Bencic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 74% |
| Sets won | 52% | 70% |
| Games won | 51% | 58% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Li | Bencic |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Li | Bencic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |