Anhelina Kalinina vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπ¦Anhelina Kalinina
#48 Β· 29 yrs Β· Right-Handed
41 meeting Β· sets 0β2

πͺπΈPaula Badosa
#58 Β· 28 yrs Β· Right-Handed
Anhelina Kalinina and Paula Badosa have met 1 time since 2026; Paula Badosa leads 1β0. Across all meetings Kalinina has taken 0 sets to Badosa's 2. Their most recent meeting: Paula Badosa won at UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kalinina | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anhelina Kalinina | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 31/44 | 74% | 20/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 6/21 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 19/65 | 31% | 14/45 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 24/49 | 51% | 19/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 6/11 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 89% | 8/9 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 40/45 | 88% | 21/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 31/45 | 83% | 20/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kalinina 0, Badosa 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kalinina
πͺ Counterpuncher
Badosa
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The π₯ Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs πͺ Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Paula Badosa.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 14, 2026
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi
C Clay Β· 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kalinina | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Anhelina Kalinina | Paula Badosa | ||
| 1 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 3 or more | 11% | 1/9 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 5 or more | 11% | 1/9 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Kalinina | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2β6 | 9β4 |
| Avg odds | 1.77 | 1.77 |
| ROI % | -59.9% | -4.9% |
| Units P/L | -4.79u | -0.64u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kalinina | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 6 |
| Distance | 654 mi Β· 1,053 km | 10,936 mi Β· 17,599 km |
| Route | ROU β CZE | BRA β ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Kalinina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Badosa's 70%).
| Opponent | Kalinina | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Emma Navarro | L 63 46 26 | L 64 36 57 |
| Panna Udvardy | W 60 63 | W 64 61 |
| Katarzyna Kawa | W 63 64 | W 75 64 |
| Tamara Zidansek | W 60 46 63 | W 36 75 76 |
| Alevtina Ibragimova | W 64 46 61 | W 76 16 64 |
| Simona Waltert | W 63 64 | W 75 75 |
| Marina Bassols Ribera | W 62 61 | W 63 62 |
| Daria Snigur | W 76 75 | L 16 67 |
| Lulu Sun | W 64 63 | W 61 76 |
| Marie Bouzkova | W 64 63 | L 63 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sonay Kartal
Wuhan Open - Wuhan Β· 1st Round
Oct 12
Janice Tjen
China Open - Beijing Β· 1st Round
Sep 30
Himeno Sakatsume
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 31
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Darja Vidmanova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 13
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 1st Round
Aug 3
Tamara Korpatsch
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Maria Lourdes Carle
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg Β· 2nd Round
Jul 22
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing Β· 2nd Round
Oct 3
Daria Kasatkina
China Open - Beijing Β· 1st Round
Oct 1
Nadia Podoroska
SP Open - Sao Paulo Β· Semifinals
Sep 19
Mary Stoiana
SP Open - Sao Paulo Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Jazmin Ortenzi
SP Open - Sao Paulo Β· 2nd Round
Sep 17
Justina Mikulskyte
SP Open - Sao Paulo Β· 1st Round
Sep 16
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 4
Daria Kasatkina
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Sep 2
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 45β65 matches
| Metric | Kalinina | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 60% |
| Sets won | 63% | 59% |
| Games won | 55% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kalinina | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kalinina | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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