Anhelina Kalinina vs Jelena OstapenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπ¦Anhelina Kalinina
#49 Β· 29 yrs Β· Right-Handed
3 meetings Β· sets 0β6

π±π»Jelena Ostapenko
#31 Β· 29 yrs Β· Right-Handed
Anhelina Kalinina and Jelena Ostapenko have met 3 times since 2022; Jelena Ostapenko leads 3β0. Their first meeting came at Viking International - Eastbourne in 2022 on grass. On hard courts Ostapenko leads 2β0. Ostapenko has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Kalinina has taken 0 sets to Ostapenko's 6. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kalinina | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anhelina Kalinina | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 24/35 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 5/15 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 16/50 | 41% | 16/39 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 19/38 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 5/8 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 6/6 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 33/37 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 24/37 | 65% | 15/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kalinina 0, Ostapenko 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kalinina
πͺ Counterpuncher
Ostapenko
π The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The π The Complete Package archetype wins about 56% vs πͺ Counterpuncher across 6,005 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jelena Ostapenko.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 13, 2024
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Aug 8, 2022
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Jun 23, 2022
Viking International - Eastbourne
G Grass Β· Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kalinina | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Anhelina Kalinina | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| 1 or more | 60% | 6/10 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 5 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Kalinina | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3β7 | 5β2 |
| Avg odds | 1.88 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | -43.0% | -7.7% |
| Units P/L | -4.30u | -0.54u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kalinina | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 1 |
| Distance | 411 mi Β· 662 km | 0 mi Β· 0 km |
| Route | CAN β POL | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Kalinina and Ostapenko posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Kalinina | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Panna Udvardy | W 60 63 | W 36 61 62 |
| Simona Waltert | W 63 64 | W 62 75 |
| Xi Yao Wang | L 36 36 | L 64 46 46 |
| Xin Yu Wang | L 36 36 | L 64 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Darja Vidmanova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 13
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 1st Round
Aug 3
Tamara Korpatsch
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Maria Lourdes Carle
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg Β· 2nd Round
Jul 22
Kaitlin Quevedo
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg Β· 1st Round
Jul 20
Paula Badosa
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi Β· 1st Round
Jul 14
Kamilla Rakhimova
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 30
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London Β· 3rd Round
Jul 3
Antonia Ruzic
Wimbledon - London Β· 2nd Round
Jul 1
Harriet Dart
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 29
Zeynep Sonmez
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne Β· Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Panna Udvardy
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne Β· 2nd Round
Jun 24
Francesca Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne Β· 1st Round
Jun 22
Magda Linette
French Open - Paris Β· 2nd Round
May 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 39β50 matches
| Metric | Kalinina | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 56% |
| Sets won | 65% | 56% |
| Games won | 56% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kalinina | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kalinina | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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