Anhelina Kalinina vs Jelena OstapenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇦Anhelina Kalinina
#48 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
43 meetings · sets 0–6
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#34 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Anhelina Kalinina and Jelena Ostapenko have met 3 times since 2022; Jelena Ostapenko leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Viking International - Eastbourne in 2022 on grass. On hard courts Ostapenko leads 2–0. Ostapenko has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Kalinina has taken 0 sets to Ostapenko's 6. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kalinina | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anhelina Kalinina | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 31/44 | 71% | 17/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 6/21 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 19/65 | 40% | 17/42 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 24/49 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 6/11 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 89% | 8/9 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 40/45 | 69% | 18/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 31/45 | 65% | 17/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kalinina 0, Ostapenko 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kalinina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jelena Ostapenko.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 13, 2024
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 8, 2022
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 23, 2022
Viking International - Eastbourne
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kalinina | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Anhelina Kalinina | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| 1 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 11% | 1/9 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 5 or more | 11% | 1/9 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kalinina | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–6 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.77 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | -59.9% | -34.0% |
| Units P/L | -4.79u | -2.04u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kalinina | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 654 mi · 1,053 km | 592 mi · 952 km |
| Route | ROU → CZE | POR → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ostapenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Kalinina's 57%).
| Opponent | Kalinina | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Paula Badosa | L 36 16 | W 76 75 |
| Panna Udvardy | W 60 63 | W 36 61 62 |
| Simona Waltert | W 63 64 | W 62 75 |
| Katie Volynets | W 62 63 | W 64 76 |
| Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | W 63 75 | W 63 61 |
| Xi Yao Wang | L 36 36 | L 64 46 46 |
| Xin Yu Wang | L 36 36 | L 64 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sonay Kartal
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Janice Tjen
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Himeno Sakatsume
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Darja Vidmanova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Tamara Korpatsch
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Maria Lourdes Carle
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Taylah Preston
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–65 matches
| Metric | Kalinina | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 57% |
| Sets won | 63% | 57% |
| Games won | 55% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kalinina | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kalinina | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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