Angelique Kerber vs Jelena OstapenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇩🇪Angelique Kerber
Unranked · 38 yrs · Left-Handed
115w4 meetings · sets 7–4
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#34 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Angelique Kerber and Jelena Ostapenko have met 4 times since 2018; Angelique Kerber leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon in 2018 on grass. On hard courts Kerber leads 2–0. Kerber has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Kerber has taken 7 sets to Ostapenko's 4. Their most recent meeting: Angelique Kerber won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kerber | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Angelique Kerber | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 71% | 17/24 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 56% | 10/18 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 40% | 17/42 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 57% | 13/23 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 65% | 11/17 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 50% | 3/6 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 69% | 18/26 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 65% | 17/26 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kerber 1, Ostapenko 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kerber
🏹 Frontrunner
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,247 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 8, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 19, 2021
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 3rd Round
May 13, 2021
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 3rd Round
Jul 7, 2018
Wimbledon
G Grass · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kerber | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.89 |
| ROI % | - | -34.0% |
| Units P/L | - | -2.04u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kerber | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 592 mi · 952 km |
| Route | — | POR → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
Olympics - Paris · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Leylah Fernandez
Olympics - Paris · 3rd Round
Jul 30
Jaqueline Cristian
Olympics - Paris · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Naomi Osaka
Olympics - Paris · 1st Round
Jul 27
Yulia Putintseva
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jul 2
Diana Shnaider
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 1st Round
Jun 24
Linda Noskova
Berlin Ladies Open - Berlin · 1st Round
Jun 18
Arantxa Rus
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 28
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Taylah Preston
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–42 matches
| Metric | Kerber | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 57% |
| Sets won | - | 57% |
| Games won | - | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kerber | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kerber | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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