Andrea Pellegrino vs Stefano TravagliaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇮🇹Andrea Pellegrino
#145 · 29 yrs · R
9 meetings · sets 11–12
🇮🇹Stefano Travaglia
#173 · 34 yrs · R
3wAndrea Pellegrino and Stefano Travaglia have met 9 times since 2017; Stefano Travaglia leads 5–4. Their first meeting came at Biella in 2017 on clay. On clay courts Travaglia leads 5–3. Across all meetings Pellegrino has taken 11 sets to Travaglia's 12. Their most recent meeting: Andrea Pellegrino won at Genova Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pellegrino | Travaglia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrea Pellegrino | Stefano Travaglia | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 15/29 | 70% | 23/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 54% | 13/24 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 51% | 27/53 | 37% | 23/62 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 11/27 | 50% | 19/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 16/22 | 65% | 15/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 10/14 | 27% | 9/33 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 19/24 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 15/24 | 68% | 23/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 9 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pellegrino 2, Travaglia 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pellegrino
🏹 Frontrunner
Travaglia
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 411 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
9 career meetings, newest first
Sep 6, 2025
Genova Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Jul 4, 2025
Modena Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
May 2, 2023
Cagliari
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 6, 2023
Barletta Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 7, 2020
Sardinia
C Clay · Round of 32
Nov 7, 2019
Ortisei
H Hard · Round of 32
Jun 13, 2019
Parma
C Clay · Round of 16
Apr 12, 2019
Francavilla
C Clay · Round of 32
Aug 2, 2017
Biella
C Clay · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pellegrino | Travaglia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrea Pellegrino | Stefano Travaglia | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 5/9 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 5 or more | 44% | 4/9 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pellegrino | Travaglia |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–7 | 2–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.16 | 2.32 |
| ROI % | -34.0% | -27.1% |
| Units P/L | -3.74u | -2.44u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pellegrino | Travaglia |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 673 mi · 1,083 km |
| Route | — | POL → ITA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Pellegrino and Travaglia posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Pellegrino | Travaglia |
|---|---|---|
| Matej Dodig | L 36 63 16 | L 57 36 |
| Thiago Monteiro | L 36 26 | L 36 67 |
| Raul Brancaccio | L 63 46 36 | W 62 62 |
| Roberto Carballes Baena | W 46 75 63 | L 16 76 36 |
| Daniel Merida | L 36 75 36 | L 16 63 57 |
| Pierluigi Basile | W 62 63 | L 67 64 36 |
| Luca Nardi | W 46 63 63 | W 62 16 61 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 63 26 62 | W 46 61 64 |
| Vilius Gaubas | L 46 57 | W 76 75 |
| Dane Sweeny | L 26 64 36 | L 67 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matej Dodig
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Valerio Aboian
Genoa Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Mika Petkovic
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Colton Smith
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Zizou Bergs
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Nishesh Basavareddy
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Thiago Monteiro
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Carlo Alberto Caniato
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marvin Moeller
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Thiago Monteiro
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Enrico Dalla Valle
Genoa Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Stefano Napolitano
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Harry Wendelken
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Nicolas Kicker
Todi Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Matej Dodig
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Max Hans Rehberg
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–64 matches
| Metric | Pellegrino | Travaglia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 55% |
| Sets won | 53% | 54% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pellegrino | Travaglia |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 3 | 5 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pellegrino | Travaglia |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 3 | 5 |
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