Andrea Pellegrino vs Stefano NapolitanoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Andrea Pellegrino
#129 · 29 yrs · R
4 meetings · sets 6–3
🇮🇹Stefano Napolitano
#228 · 31 yrs · R
5w3Andrea Pellegrino and Stefano Napolitano have met 4 times since 2018; Andrea Pellegrino leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Qujing in 2018 on hard. On clay courts Pellegrino leads 2–0. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Pellegrino has taken 6 sets to Napolitano's 3. Their most recent meeting: Andrea Pellegrino won at Turin (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pellegrino | Napolitano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrea Pellegrino | Stefano Napolitano | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 18/33 | 73% | 30/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 25/56 | 27% | 16/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 14/32 | 62% | 23/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 11/15 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 95% | 37/39 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 18/27 | 77% | 30/39 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pellegrino 2, Napolitano 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pellegrino
🏹 Frontrunner
Napolitano
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 554 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
May 13, 2025
Turin
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Oct 16, 2022
Naples
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 27, 2021
Rome 2 Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Mar 14, 2018
Qujing
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pellegrino | Napolitano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrea Pellegrino | Stefano Napolitano | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 6/12 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 2/12 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 2/12 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pellegrino | Napolitano |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 3–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 2.40 |
| ROI % | +11.5% | +3.8% |
| Units P/L | +1.61u | +0.23u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pellegrino | Napolitano |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | CAN | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Napolitano has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Pellegrino's 50%).
| Opponent | Pellegrino | Napolitano |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Barrena | W 62 26 61 | W 64 36 76 |
| Vitaliy Sachko | L 64 36 46 | W 75 62 |
| Pol Martin Tiffon | W 64 64 | W 61 62 |
| Geoffrey Blancaneaux | L 46 26 | L 26 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zizou Bergs
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Nishesh Basavareddy
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Thiago Monteiro
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Carlo Alberto Caniato
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Andrey Rublev
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Luciano Darderi
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Raul Brancaccio
Trieste Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Alexandre Muller
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 27
Gonzalo Villanueva
Cordenons Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Alex Barrena
Cordenons Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Felix Balshaw
Cordenons Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 13
Oscar Otte
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Vitaliy Sachko
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Billy Harris
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Franco Agamenone
Parma Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–60 matches
| Metric | Pellegrino | Napolitano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 68% |
| Sets won | 55% | 64% |
| Games won | 51% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pellegrino | Napolitano |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pellegrino | Napolitano |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.