Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo GiustinoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrea Pellegrino and Lorenzo Giustino have met 3 times since 2017; Lorenzo Giustino leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Cordenons in 2017 on clay. On clay courts Giustino leads 2–1. Across all meetings Pellegrino has taken 2 sets to Giustino's 3. Their most recent meeting: Andrea Pellegrino won at Vicenza Challenger (2022).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Maia Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- October 12 · 6:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.48 or shorter, Andrea Pellegrino has won 44 of 66 (67%). That is level with the 68% the price implied.
At 2.41 or longer, Lorenzo Giustino has won 33 of 99 (33%). That is level with the 31% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Lorenzo Giustino faces Andrea Pellegrino in the first round of the Maia Challenger on October 12 on clay. Giustino, ranked 216th, comes in off a loss and has won just two of his last five matches. Pellegrino, ranked 145th, arrives in worse form, losing his last two and holding a 2-5 record over his last ten.
The pair have met four times, with Giustino leading the head-to-head 3-1. Pellegrino has found some recent success against common opponents, beating Nardi, Kasnikowski, and Tiffon while Giustino fell to all three. Both men carry identical clay records of 11-9 over their recent sample.
Giustino plays an all-court game and can operate from the baseline or move forward, while Pellegrino's style depends on establishing control early in points. On clay, both sit at 55%, suggesting neither has clear comfort on the surface. Giustino will need to construct points methodically and control the net; Pellegrino must generate momentum quickly or risk being dragged into extended baseline exchanges.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pellegrino | Giustino | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrea Pellegrino | Lorenzo Giustino | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 15/29 | 66% | 27/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 54% | 13/24 | 37% | 10/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 51% | 27/53 | 35% | 24/68 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 11/27 | 56% | 20/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 16/22 | 58% | 18/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 10/14 | 66% | 19/29 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 19/24 | 81% | 35/43 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 15/24 | 63% | 27/43 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pellegrino 1, Giustino 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pellegrino
🏹 Frontrunner
Giustino
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🎾 All-Court is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 210 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 23, 2022
Vicenza Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 10, 2019
Barletta
C Clay · Round of 32
Aug 14, 2017
Cordenons
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pellegrino | Giustino | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrea Pellegrino | Lorenzo Giustino | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 5/9 | 60% | 9/15 |
| 5 or more | 44% | 4/9 | 47% | 7/15 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pellegrino | Giustino |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–7 | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.16 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | -34.0% | +3.9% |
| Units P/L | -3.74u | +0.63u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pellegrino | Giustino |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | ITA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pellegrino has a higher win rate against shared opponents (43% vs Giustino's 29%).
| Opponent | Pellegrino | Giustino |
|---|---|---|
| Matej Dodig | L 36 63 16 | W 46 75 76 |
| Vitaliy Sachko | L 64 36 46 | W 36 76 64 |
| Maks Kasnikowski | W 46 76 61 | L 46 67 |
| Daniel Merida | L 36 75 36 | L |
| Luca Nardi | W 46 63 63 | L 76 46 46 |
| Kyrian Jacquet | L 64 16 26 | L 36 67 |
| Pol Martin Tiffon | W 64 64 | L 46 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matej Dodig
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Valerio Aboian
Genoa Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Mika Petkovic
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Colton Smith
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Zizou Bergs
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Nishesh Basavareddy
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Thiago Monteiro
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Carlo Alberto Caniato
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Palermo Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Christian Langmo
Palermo Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Matthew William Donald
Bari Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
John Sperle
Bari Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Gerard Campana Lee
M25 Sabadell · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Matias Ponce De Leon Gomila
M25 Sabadell · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Enrique Carrascosa Diaz
M25 Sabadell · 1st Round
Sep 23
Grigor Dimitrov
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–68 matches
| Metric | Pellegrino | Giustino |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 60% |
| Sets won | 53% | 57% |
| Games won | 50% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pellegrino | Giustino |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pellegrino | Giustino |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 2 |